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Crystal Palace
7:00 PM
August 28, 2026
Manchester City
Prediction published on Aug 26, 2026 7:03 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Aug 26, 2026 7:03 PM
Crystal Palace host Manchester City at Selhurst Park on Friday, August 28, with kick-off scheduled for 19:00 local time. Both clubs enter this Premier League fixture after contrasting opening results: Palace were beaten 2-0 by Everton, while City recovered from a deficit to defeat AFC Bournemouth 2-1. The Eagles are currently 16th, with Manchester City in eighth place. Although the season remains at an early stage, the home side will be eager to stop their poor domestic sequence, whereas the visitors are seeking a second consecutive league victory.
Crystal Palace began their Premier League campaign with a 2-0 defeat away to Everton on August 22. That result left them with no points, no goals scored and an average of two goals conceded after their first league appearance of the season. Their broader five-match record is more balanced, containing two wins, one draw and two losses, but the averages of 1.0 goal scored and 1.4 conceded per game indicate that their recent performances have not been entirely convincing.
The setback against Everton also continued the difficult league form Palace experienced at the end of last season. They collected only two points from their final five Premier League fixtures, a sequence that coincided with their focus on the Conference League campaign they eventually won. Their most recent league victory came at home against Newcastle on April 12, and that was their only success across their final four home league games of the season. Palace have now suffered three defeats in their last four Premier League matches.
Defensive vulnerability has been a recurring concern. Each of the Eagles' last seven league games has ended with them conceding at least two goals, while their latest meeting with Manchester City produced a 3-0 defeat on May 13. Palace have also been behind at half-time in six of their last 10 Premier League matches. At the same time, at least one second-half goal has been recorded in each of their last 10 games, making the period after the interval an important part of this match preview.
The club also enters the contest amid uncertainty surrounding Jean-Philippe Marteta and Ismala Sarr. The supplied information states that Sarr has attracted interest from Liverpool, although coach Pierre Sagee has insisted that the player will not leave. Marteta, meanwhile, is described as being keen to move on and involved in a dispute concerning his contract extension. Palace must put those distractions aside as they attempt to rediscover their league form.
Manchester City opened their Premier League season by beating AFC Bournemouth 2-1 on August 23. City trailed 1-0 before scoring twice late in the match, turning a potential defeat into three points. Their league record therefore stands at one win from one game, with averages of 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Across their latest five matches, they have registered three victories, one draw and one defeat, scoring an average of 1.8 goals and conceding 1.4.
The visitors also bring a strong longer-term league sequence into this trip. Manchester City have lost only two of their last 17 Premier League matches and remain unbeaten in their previous eight away league fixtures. Their most recent away defeat in the competition came against Manchester United in January. During the wider run mentioned in the supplied information, City also won the Carabao Cup and FA Cup.
Scoring consistency strengthens the visitors' case. Manchester City have found the net in each of their last 17 Premier League games and in 27 of their previous 29 matches across the available sample. Their first-half numbers are also notable: City have avoided a half-time deficit in 22 of their last 24 league appearances and have been leading at the break in 12 of the last 20. Those figures contrast sharply with Palace's tendency to trail at half-time.
There have been several squad changes ahead of this fixture. Savinho, who scored twice when City won 3-0 at Selhurst Park last year, has joined Tottenham and will not feature. Marmoush has also moved to Tottenham on loan, while Nico Gonzalez has joined Newcastle United. City have added Ayyoub Bouaddi from Lille for £85.6 million, and the central defender may be involved in some capacity. New coach Maresca will now look to build on the comeback against Bournemouth.
The recent evidence gives Manchester City several clear advantages. They arrive after a winning start, have avoided defeat in eight consecutive away league matches and possess a reliable scoring sequence. Palace, by comparison, failed to score at Everton and have conceded at least twice in seven straight Premier League games. The visitors also won the latest head-to-head encounter 3-0, while the five-match head-to-head summary gives Palace one victory, one draw and three defeats, with the Eagles averaging 1.0 goal scored and 2.6 conceded.
The opening half could be particularly significant. Palace have been behind at the interval in six of their last 10 league matches, whereas City have not lost at half-time in 22 of their previous 24 Premier League games. Manchester City have also led at the break in 12 of their last 20 league fixtures. However, Palace's run of 10 consecutive matches featuring at least one second-half goal suggests that the contest may continue to develop after the restart.
Goals and corners offer additional points of interest. The supplied probabilities assign both Both Teams To Score and Over 2.5 goals a 52% chance. Meanwhile, each of Manchester City's last 10 Premier League matches has produced more than 10.5 corners, although the available candidate for under 10.5 corners carries a 57% probability. The match odds list Manchester City at 1.60, Crystal Palace at 5.00 and the draw at 4.00.
Overall, Palace's home advantage must be weighed against their defensive run, winless opening and difficult finish to the previous league season. City showed resilience by overturning a deficit against Bournemouth, and their consistent scoring record should test a home defence that has recently allowed opponents repeated success. The structured win probabilities give Manchester City 46%, compared with 29% for Crystal Palace and 25% for the draw, making an away victory the most coherent conclusion from the available form, head-to-head record and scoring statistics.
Crystal Palace vs Manchester City prediction from BetMines: Manchester City win (2) with 46% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Crystal Palace
Manchester City
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
2
8
1
9
2.5
3
7
3
7
3.5
7
3
8
2
4.5
9
1
10
0