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CSKA Sofia
4:45 PM
October 15, 2026
Monaco
Prediction published on Oct 14, 2026 12:02 AM by Dario in Europe - Europa Conference League | Modified on Oct 14, 2026 12:02 AM
CSKA Sofia host Monaco in the Europa Conference League on October 15, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 16:45 local time. The fixture brings together two unbeaten sides: CSKA have avoided defeat in their last seven matches, while Monaco have yet to lose this season. Monaco arrive with two wins from two Conference League matches, but the hosts have won four of their last five games and will look to carry that form into this home fixture. It is the clubs’ first meeting in more than 20 years; Monaco won their previous encounter 2-1 on December 14, 2005.
CSKA Sofia reached the Conference League after dropping out of the Europa League. This is their second appearance in the competition’s group or league phase, following their previous appearance four years ago. They have never progressed to the knockout rounds of a UEFA competition, giving this campaign an opportunity to break new ground.
CSKA’s most recent result was a 3-2 win against CSKA 1948 Sofia on October 11. Across their last five matches, they have recorded four wins and one draw, scoring an average of 2.8 goals and conceding 1.2 per game. Their unbeaten run now stands at seven matches, including five victories; their last defeat came in Europe as they exited the Europa League.
Goals have been a consistent feature of CSKA’s fixtures. Each of their last 13 matches has featured over 1.5 total goals, and each of those games has also produced at least one first-half goal. Those figures describe goals in the matches as a whole, rather than goals scored by CSKA alone. Their recent scoring average nevertheless gives the home side reason to approach Monaco with attacking confidence, even if the visitors bring their own strong run of results.
Monaco make their first Conference League appearance this season and have started with two wins from two matches in the competition. They advanced past Gornik Zabrze 7-3 on aggregate, with the return leg proving particularly productive. Their European results fit a wider unbeaten start to the season: Monaco have won six of their eight matches, failing to win only twice.
The visitors’ latest outing ended in a 2-2 draw with Toulouse on October 10. Over their last five matches, Monaco have taken three wins and two draws while averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. In the Conference League, their two matches have produced averages of 3.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. That attacking return helps explain why Monaco enter this meeting as favorites, although their European defensive average leaves room for CSKA to create chances.
Monaco have scored at least once in each of their last 12 away matches and in 22 of their last 23 fixtures overall. At least one second-half goal has been scored in 21 of their last 22 matches, and Monaco have led at half-time in seven of their last ten. Those numbers underline the visitors’ ability to make an impact at different stages of a game, without guaranteeing that they will control this one from the start.
The contrast in Conference League experience is clear: CSKA return to the group or league phase for a second time, while Monaco are appearing in the competition for the first time. Current form offers a closer comparison. Neither team has lost in its last five matches, and both arrive after scoring twice or more in their most recent outing. CSKA’s 3-2 win and Monaco’s 2-2 draw also showed that each side can contribute to a game with goals at both ends.
Monaco hold the stronger ranking in the supplied Conference League figures, sitting 14th compared with CSKA’s 23rd, and the listed win probabilities favor the visitors 46% to 30%, with a draw at 24%. Their unbeaten season and record of scoring in 12 consecutive away matches support that assessment. CSKA, however, have scored freely in their recent five-game sample and have the advantage of playing at home. Monaco’s favorites tag does not remove the challenge posed by a host side that has taken four wins and a draw from its last five games.
There is also a reason to consider goals at both ends rather than focus solely on the result. CSKA’s matches have consistently cleared 1.5 total goals, while Monaco have scored in 22 of their last 23 games. At the same time, CSKA have conceded an average of 1.2 goals across their last five fixtures and Monaco have conceded 1.5 per game in their two Conference League matches. The last head-to-head ended 2-1 to Monaco, although that December 2005 result is too distant to carry the same weight as the teams’ current figures. The more relevant picture is of two unbeaten sides with productive recent attacks and opportunities for each to get on the scoresheet.
CSKA Sofia vs Monaco prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 53% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
CSKA Sofia
Monaco
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
0
10
1
9
2.5
4
6
5
5
3.5
5
5
7
3
4.5
6
4
8
2