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Prediction published on Jun 24, 2026 9:02 AM by Dario in Brazil - Serie B | Modified on Jun 24, 2026 9:02 AM
The upcoming clash between Cuiabá and Londrina opens the fifteenth round of the Brazilian Serie B, promising a tight and tactical encounter at the Arena Pantanal. The home side, known as the Dourado, will try to capitalize on their solid defensive record, while the visitors, the Tubarão, aim to escape the relegation zone. The match is scheduled for Thursday, June 25, at 20:30, and will be broadcast live on Disney+.
Cuiabá enter this fixture sitting in 10th place in Serie B, having collected 19 points so far. Despite being one of the most defensively consistent teams in the league, their attacking output has been modest. The Dourado have scored an average of just 0.6 goals per game while conceding only 0.5. Their last outing ended in a narrow 1-0 defeat against Avaí on June 21, a result that halted a decent run of form.
Across their last five matches, Cuiabá have recorded three wins and two losses, maintaining an average of 1.0 goal scored and 0.6 conceded per game. Their home performances have been particularly disciplined, with Under 2.5 goals recorded in each of their last nine home matches in Serie B. In fact, 18 of their last 20 overall matches have ended with fewer than three goals, underlining their defensive solidity and low-scoring tendencies.
At home, Cuiabá rarely lose and often control the tempo of the game. Their defensive organization makes them difficult to break down, but their lack of attacking efficiency has prevented them from climbing higher in the standings. The team’s main challenge remains converting possession into goals while maintaining their defensive discipline.
Londrina travel to the Arena Pantanal in 17th place, five points behind their hosts. The Tubarão come into this match after a morale-boosting 2-0 victory over Athletic Club on June 20, a result that ended a short losing streak. Over their last five matches, they have achieved two wins and three defeats, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
Despite their struggles in the league, Londrina have shown flashes of attacking potential, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per match this season. However, their defensive fragility has been costly, with 1.6 goals conceded on average. Their matches tend to be more open than Cuiabá’s, often featuring numerous corner kicks — over 7.5 corners have been taken in 28 of their last 29 games, and over 8.5 in 26 of those.
While Londrina’s attack can be dangerous on its day, their inconsistency and defensive lapses have left them vulnerable, especially away from home. Facing one of the league’s most disciplined defenses, they may find it difficult to create clear chances. A draw or a narrow defeat would not be a disastrous outcome for them, given their current position in the table.
This fixture brings together two sides with contrasting strengths. Cuiabá rely heavily on their defensive structure, preferring to keep games tight and low-scoring, while Londrina tend to play more open football but struggle to maintain balance at the back. The statistical trends strongly suggest a cautious encounter, with few clear chances and limited goal action.
Historically, these teams have met twice, with Londrina winning both encounters by narrow margins. The most recent head-to-head ended 0-1 in October 2019. Given Cuiabá’s current defensive form and Londrina’s inconsistency, another low-scoring match seems likely. The Dourado’s ability to control the rhythm at home could give them a slight edge, but their limited attacking power may prevent a comfortable win.
Expect a tactical battle where both sides prioritize organization over risk-taking. The first half is likely to be cagey, with Cuiabá aiming to impose their defensive rhythm and Londrina looking for counterattacking opportunities. A single goal could decide the outcome, and a draw cannot be ruled out.
Based on the statistical data and recent performances, the BetMines prediction for this match points to Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 58%. Both teams have shown a tendency toward low-scoring games, and with Cuiabá’s strong defense and Londrina’s inconsistent attack, a tight contest with few goals is the most likely scenario.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Cuiabá
Londrina
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
1
9
1.5
5
5
4
6
2.5
8
2
5
5
3.5
9
1
7
3
4.5
10
0
8
2