Cusco FC host Alianza Lima in Peru’s Primera Division on October 11, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 23:30 local time at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega. Cusco FC have won four of their last five home matches, although that run includes a 1-0 defeat to Melgar in their most recent game at the ground. Alianza Lima arrive with just one win in their last five matches, but their season-long defensive record remains strong. Home form, recent results and the visitors’ away-match statistics give this fixture several angles to examine.

Cusco FC’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Cusco FC have recorded three wins and two defeats across their last five matches, scoring and conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game in that period. Their results include a 2-1 win over FC Cajamarca on September 19. Across their Primera Division campaign, they have 14 wins, three draws and 10 losses, with averages of 1.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match.

Their home record offers a more specific reason for confidence. Cusco FC won four of their last five matches at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, despite the recent setback against Melgar. In their first five home fixtures, they conceded only three goals. That defensive return has helped them make the most of their matches at the ground, even if the latest result showed that a home win is far from automatic.

Cusco FC have also shown a tendency to get in front early. They scored first in six of their last eight games and have been ahead at half-time in eight of their last 11 Primera Division matches. At home in the league, they have not trailed at half-time in 16 consecutive matches. Their last 15 matches have produced no draws, underlining how frequently their games have ended with one side taking all three points.

Alianza Lima’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Alianza Lima have won one, drawn one and lost three of their last five matches. Over that spell, they have averaged 1.0 goal scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Their latest listed result was a 2-1 loss to Palestino on September 30. Those recent figures contrast with their broader Primera Division record of 16 wins, eight draws and three defeats, alongside averages of 1.6 goals scored and just 0.7 conceded per match.

Defensive numbers have remained a notable feature of Alianza Lima’s campaign. They conceded 10 goals in 10 Clausura matches and 18 across 27 league fixtures, according to the supplied match information. Their games have often stayed within a limited scoring range: six of their last eight finished with fewer than 2.5 total goals, while 19 of their last 20 away matches had fewer than 3.5. That does not settle how this particular game will unfold, but it provides important context alongside Cusco FC’s home defensive record.

There are useful trends beyond goals. Alianza Lima’s last 13 Primera Division matches have each featured at least one first-half goal. On their league travels, their last 10 matches have all finished with fewer than 8.5 corners, including five consecutive away fixtures with fewer than 7.5. Looking across their last 20 away matches, 19 produced fewer than 10.5 corners. Those repeated away figures are among the clearest statistical patterns available for this preview.

Cusco FC vs Alianza Lima Match Analysis

The two sides bring different strengths into this Primera Division meeting. Cusco FC’s four wins in five home games and their long run without trailing at half-time on home soil point to a team capable of setting the early terms of a match. Alianza Lima’s overall defensive average, however, offers a counterweight to the hosts’ home form. Their recent five-match return has been less convincing than their season record, making the contrast between short-term results and the wider campaign particularly relevant.

The supplied win probabilities favor Cusco FC at 53%, compared with 25% for a draw and 22% for Alianza Lima. The teams’ last five head-to-head meetings comprise three Cusco FC wins and two Alianza Lima wins, with no draws. Recent meetings and current form are worth considering, but neither removes the uncertainty around this fixture: Cusco FC lost their latest home game, while Alianza Lima have demonstrated defensive consistency over a larger set of league matches.

Goals may attract attention given Cusco FC’s first-half record and the run of early goals in Alianza Lima matches. The supplied figures also place Over and Under 2.5 goals at an even 50% each. By comparison, the visitors’ corner trend is sustained across several away samples: fewer than 8.5 in their last 10 league trips and fewer than 10.5 in 19 of their last 20 away matches. That makes corners a particularly well-supported statistical focus for the match.

Cusco FC vs Alianza Lima prediction from BetMines: Under 10.5 corners with 80% probability.