Tools
Cusco FC
11:00 PM
August 1, 2026
UTC Cajamarca
Prediction published on Jul 30, 2026 11:03 PM by Dario in Peru - Primera Division | Modified on Jul 30, 2026 11:03 PM
Cusco FC host UTC Cajamarca at the Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega in the third round of the Torneo Clausura. The home side are fifth in the Primera Division rankings, while the visitors occupy 16th place. Cusco FC will be looking to respond after their 2-1 defeat against Universitario on July 25, 2026. UTC Cajamarca, meanwhile, enter the fixture following a goalless draw with UCV Moquegua on July 26. Although the rankings favour the hosts, both teams have produced mixed results recently, creating an interesting contest between Cusco FC’s established home scoring sequence and UTC Cajamarca’s need to improve a difficult away record.
Cusco FC have recorded one victory, one draw and three defeats across their last five matches. During that sequence, they averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game, figures which underline how their recent fixtures have offered opportunities at both ends. Their latest result was the 2-1 loss against Universitario, but that match took place away from home. Returning to the Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega gives the fifth-ranked side an opportunity to recover and strengthen its position.
Across the Primera Division season, Cusco FC’s record stands at nine wins, three draws and seven defeats. They have averaged 1.4 goals scored per match while also conceding an average of 1.4. Those balanced numbers suggest that their games have not always been straightforward, even when they have been able to impose their attacking quality.
The clearest source of confidence is their scoring consistency at home. Cusco FC have found the net at least once in each of their last 14 home matches in the Primera Division. There has also been at least one second-half goal in each of their last 19 home fixtures, including all of their previous 16 home league games. This is a total-match trend rather than a record limited to goals scored by Cusco FC, but it still indicates that their home contests regularly open up after the interval.
The same second-half pattern extends beyond their home schedule. At least one goal after half-time has been registered in 24 of Cusco FC’s last 26 matches and in 18 of their previous 20 Primera Division fixtures. They have also avoided going into the interval behind in 18 of their last 20 league matches. Remaining competitive through the opening period before trying to make an impact later could therefore be an important feature of this encounter.
UTC Cajamarca arrive in fifth-match form that is stronger than their league ranking might initially suggest. The visitors have collected two victories and two draws while suffering one defeat in their last five games. They averaged 2.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded during that run, although their most recent outing ended 0-0 against UCV Moquegua.
The wider season record provides a more difficult picture. UTC Cajamarca have four wins, seven draws and eight defeats in the Primera Division, with averages of 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match. Sitting 16th in the rankings places additional importance on collecting points, but the trip to face fifth-placed Cusco FC presents a demanding assignment.
Away statistics are particularly significant for the visitors. UTC Cajamarca have not been ahead at half-time in any of their last 16 away league matches. They have also conceded at least once in each of their previous 12 Primera Division games on the road. That sequence could leave them vulnerable against a home team that has scored in 14 consecutive league fixtures at its own ground.
UTC Cajamarca’s away matches have nevertheless continued to produce goals. More than 1.5 total goals have been scored in each of their last 14 away league games, while at least one second-half goal has occurred in all of their previous 13 away Primera Division fixtures. Across all venues, a second-half goal has been recorded in 23 of their last 25 matches. Only two of their previous 10 league games finished without a goal, showing that the recent 0-0 draw with UCV Moquegua does not represent the dominant longer-term pattern.
The contrast between the two teams is clearest when Cusco FC’s home scoring run is placed alongside UTC Cajamarca’s away defensive record. The hosts have scored in 14 successive home league matches, whereas the visitors have conceded in 12 consecutive Primera Division away fixtures. Those sequences give Cusco FC a clear platform, but their three defeats in the last five matches also show why the contest should not be treated as a formality.
The timing statistics could prove equally relevant. Cusco FC have rarely been behind at half-time in recent league games, while UTC Cajamarca have gone 16 away matches without leading at the break. Both sides also have extensive sequences involving goals after half-time. A measured opening followed by more space and activity after the interval would therefore be consistent with the available evidence.
Recent head-to-head results add another layer of caution. Cusco FC won the latest meeting 1-0 on February 13, 2026, but the five-match summary from Cusco FC’s perspective reads one win, two draws and two defeats. Across those encounters, Cusco FC averaged 1.0 goal scored and 1.2 conceded. The source article also notes that four of UTC Cajamarca’s last five visits to this opponent stayed below 2.5 total goals, with the visitors recording three draws and two defeats during that period.
Overall, the fixture brings together a Cusco FC side seeking an immediate response and a UTC Cajamarca team whose recent five-match record has been competitive despite its lower ranking. The home side’s scoring consistency and the visitors’ recurring away concessions are central factors, while the head-to-head history points towards a contest that may remain closely fought. With both teams repeatedly involved in second-half scoring patterns, the period after the interval could be decisive in shaping the final result.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Cusco FC
UTC Cajamarca
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
2
8
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
3
7
4
6
3.5
7
3
5
5
4.5
7
3
9
1