Czech Republic host Spain at Epet Arena in Praha on November 12, 2026, with the two sides approaching their UEFA Nations League Group A3 meeting from very different positions. Spain have already qualified for the quarter-finals and lead the group by three points over England, but still have the group lead to protect with two fixtures remaining. Czech Republic have lost all four of their group matches and are three points behind Croatia. For the hosts, this is a chance to collect their first points before travelling to Croatia for their final game; for the visitors, it is an opportunity to strengthen their hold on first place.

Czech Republic's Recent Form and Key Stats

Czech Republic have endured a difficult Nations League campaign, recording four defeats from four games while scoring twice and conceding ten times. Their most recent result was a 3-0 loss away to England on October 6. Before that, they were beaten 3-1 in Spain, having opened the group with home defeats against Croatia and England. Those results leave them fourth in Group A3 and still searching for a first point.

The broader form is no more encouraging for the hosts. Czech Republic have lost their last five matches, scoring an average of 0.4 goals and conceding 2.6 per game across that run. Their group averages of 0.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded tell a similar story: finding a goal has been difficult, while limiting opponents has proved just as challenging. Spain have already taken advantage of that imbalance once, winning the previous meeting 3-1 on October 3.

There are two home-match trends worth weighing alongside those results. Czech Republic have not trailed at half-time in 19 of their last 21 home games, so their recent defeats do not necessarily point to an early deficit. At least one second-half goal has been scored in 19 of their last 20 home matches, while their last 12 matches overall have each produced more than 1.5 total goals. Those figures describe the matches as a whole, not goals scored by Czech Republic alone.

Spain's Recent Form and Key Stats

Spain arrive with a perfect Nations League group record: four wins from four, with averages of 3.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match. They began the group by coming from 2-1 down to beat England 3-2 away, then defeated Croatia 3-1 at home. A 3-1 victory over Czech Republic followed, and their latest group game ended in a 2-1 away win against Croatia on October 6. Having already secured a quarter-final place, they can now focus on preserving their advantage at the top of Group A3.

Across their last five matches, Spain have registered four wins and a draw, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Their longer unbeaten runs are also substantial: 40 matches overall, 17 in the UEFA Nations League and 17 away from home. More pointedly for this fixture, Spain have won their last nine away games and scored at least once in each of their last 13 away matches.

The attacking pattern within the competition has been consistent. Spain have scored at least two goals in each of their last 11 Nations League matches, all 11 have featured more than 2.5 total goals, and both teams have scored in their last ten Nations League fixtures. Each of those 11 matches has also had at least one first-half goal. Spain have led at half-time in eight of their last 11 Nations League games, although Czech Republic's record of avoiding a half-time deficit at home offers a counterpoint to that trend.

Czech Republic vs Spain Match Analysis

The contrast in group results makes Spain the stronger side on the supplied form: four wins against four defeats, with an average of three goals scored per group game compared with Czech Republic's 0.5. Spain's nine-match away winning run adds to that case. Czech Republic, however, have a clear reason to fight for a result, with Croatia three points ahead of them and a direct meeting still to come in their final fixture.

Recent meetings also favor the visitors. Spain won 3-1 in October, and Czech Republic's head-to-head summary against Spain stands at no wins, one draw and four defeats, with averages of 0.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. The hosts' first-half home record suggests this need not be settled quickly, but Spain's sustained scoring record and Czech Republic's recent defensive figures point to a demanding match for the home side. On the evidence available, an away victory is the clearest match outcome.

Czech Republic vs Spain prediction from BetMines: Spain win (2) with 70% probability.