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Prediction published on Oct 23, 2026 3:35 AM by Dario in USA - Major League Soccer | Modified on Oct 23, 2026 3:35 AM
DC United host Cincinnati at Audi Field in Washington on October 24, just three days after the teams met in Major League Soccer. Cincinnati won that encounter 2-1 on October 21, but the return fixture offers DC United an immediate chance to respond at home. The hosts have lost four of their last five matches, while Cincinnati have also endured an uneven spell, with three defeats in five. Recent results therefore offer little certainty about the winner. Goals may be a more revealing theme: Cincinnati have conceded in each of their last 20 league matches, and DC United have allowed an average of 2.4 goals per game across their last five.
DC United enter the match after a run of one win and four defeats in five games. During that stretch, they have averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per match. The 2-1 loss to Cincinnati on October 21 fits that recent pattern: DC United found the net but still came away without a result. Back at Audi Field, they will be looking to turn a close contest into a better outcome.
Across their Major League Soccer season, DC United have recorded seven wins, 12 draws and 11 defeats, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Their most recent match at Audi Field ended in a 2-1 victory over New York Red Bulls, showing that they can take the points in a match where both sides score. Second-half goals have also been a frequent feature of their fixtures: at least one goal was scored after the break in 20 of DC United's last 22 league matches. That record makes the full 90 minutes worth considering rather than judging the contest solely by its start.
Cincinnati travel to Washington with the advantage of a fresh 2-1 win over these opponents. Their wider five-match record, however, stands at two wins and three defeats. They have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded across those games, combining a regular attacking contribution with a notable number of goals allowed. Their season record is 10 wins, nine draws and 11 losses, with league averages of 2.1 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per match.
The visitors' goal trends are particularly relevant to this rematch. Cincinnati's last 27 Major League Soccer matches have each featured at least two total goals, as have their last 14 away league games. Their defence has conceded at least once in 20 consecutive league matches and in each of their last 16 away league fixtures. The match context also points toward open scorelines: four of Cincinnati's last five games have finished with more than 2.5 goals, as have their last five away outings.
Cincinnati's games have often produced an early goal, with at least one scored before half-time in 22 of their last 23 league matches. Yet they have trailed at the interval in seven of their last 10 league fixtures. Those figures underline why their recent victory over DC United should not be mistaken for consistent control of matches, especially when their away defensive record gives opponents repeated opportunities to score.
The latest head-to-head result gives Cincinnati a narrow recent edge, but the broader picture is competitive. From DC United's perspective, the head-to-head summary stands at one win, one draw and three defeats, with averages of 1.0 goal scored and 1.4 conceded. The October 21 meeting produced three goals, and the teams now face each other again with little time between fixtures. DC United's recent defensive average is a concern for the hosts, while Cincinnati's long run of matches without a clean sheet offers DC United a clear reason to believe they can contribute to the scoreline.
There are competing signals when assessing the likely outcome. DC United have lost four of five, but their latest home appearance was a 2-1 win. Cincinnati won the direct meeting, yet have lost three of their last five and continue to concede regularly on the road. The supplied win probabilities reflect that uncertainty: 39% for Cincinnati, 36% for DC United and 25% for a draw. None of those figures establishes a decisive favourite.
For this Major League Soccer preview, the clearest common thread is the potential for goals. Cincinnati's extended run of matches with at least two goals, their recent sequence of away games exceeding 2.5, and DC United's defensive difficulties all support that reading. The hosts' recent scoring average provides a reason for caution, but they scored in the first meeting and in their latest home win. Whether the result goes the same way as it did on October 21 remains uncertain; the evidence for another match with multiple goals is more consistent.
DC United vs Cincinnati prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 57% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
DC United
Cincinnati
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
2
8
0
10
2.5
3
7
2
8
3.5
7
3
3
7
4.5
8
2
7
3