De Graafschap host Almere City in an Eerste Divisie match on August 29, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 14:30 local time at Stadion De Vijverberg in Doetinchem. The teams have made sharply contrasting starts to the league season. De Graafschap are 17th after collecting one point from three matches, while fourth-placed Almere City remain unbeaten with two victories and one draw. Although the early standings favor the visitors, the available win probabilities are perfectly balanced at 38% for each side, with the draw assessed at 24%. Goals could therefore provide the clearest angle in a fixture featuring several strong attacking trends.

De Graafschap Recent Form and Key Statistics

De Graafschap are still searching for their first Eerste Divisie win of the campaign. They opened with a 1-1 draw against Helmond Sport before suffering a 5-2 defeat to Jong AZ and losing 2-1 against VVV-Venlo on August 23. That sequence leaves their league record at no wins, one draw and two defeats, with averages of 1.3 goals scored and 2.7 conceded per game.

The home team’s wider five-match record also underlines its difficult start. De Graafschap have registered one victory, one draw and three defeats across that period, scoring an average of 1.8 goals but conceding 3.0 per match. Before the league campaign began, they beat Kifisia 4-2 in a friendly and lost 5-1 to Excelsior. Across the five listed results, every game produced goals for De Graafschap, but their defensive numbers remained a major concern.

There is nevertheless a notable scoring pattern at home. De Graafschap have found the net in each of their last 18 home matches, including their previous 17 home fixtures in the Eerste Divisie. Their games have also regularly moved beyond a single goal, as over 1.5 total goals were recorded in 37 of their last 40 matches.

• League record: 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats.
• League averages: 1.3 goals scored and 2.7 conceded.
• At least one De Graafschap goal in each of their last 18 home matches.
• Over 1.5 total goals in 37 of their last 40 matches.

Second-half action has been another recurring feature. At least one goal after the interval was scored in De Graafschap’s last 12 home matches and in their last 11 home league games. The hosts have also been ahead at half-time in eight of their previous 13 Eerste Divisie fixtures at home, indicating that their poor overall start does not rule out a competitive opening phase.

Almere City Recent Form and Key Statistics

Almere City arrive with a much stronger league record. They began with a 1-1 draw against FC Den Bosch and then defeated Jong PSV 3-1 before recording a 3-0 away victory over Vitesse on August 21. Their season return stands at two wins, one draw and no defeats, accompanied by averages of 2.3 goals scored and only 0.7 conceded per match.

Across their last five games, Almere City have won three times, drawn once and lost once. They averaged 2.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded during that run. Their preparation included a 3-1 victory over FC Groningen and a 4-0 defeat to FC Emmen, but their competitive response has been convincing: seven points from the opening three league fixtures and seven goals scored.

The away trends reinforce the visitors’ attacking credentials. Almere City have scored at least once in their last 15 away matches in the Eerste Divisie and in 19 of their previous 20 away games across the broader sequence. They have also found the net in each of their last 15 league matches, making another blank difficult to support from the supplied statistics.

• League record: 2 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats.
• League averages: 2.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded.
• Over 1.5 total goals in their last 18 away matches.
• At least one Almere City goal in 19 of their last 20 away games.
• Over 7.5 corners in their last 17 away matches.

Almere City’s fixtures also show a persistent second-half scoring trend. Their last 21 away matches contained at least one goal after the break, as did their last 16 away league fixtures. The same outcome occurred in 38 of their previous 40 matches overall. In addition, over 1.5 total goals landed in their last 14 Eerste Divisie away games and their last 11 league matches.

De Graafschap vs Almere City Match Analysis

The contrast in early-season performance is clear. Almere City are unbeaten and have combined an average of 2.3 goals scored with only 0.7 conceded in the league. De Graafschap, by comparison, have conceded an average of 2.7 and are yet to win. However, the hosts’ long scoring run at home means the match cannot be reduced to the difference between fourth and 17th place.

The most recent head-to-head meeting ended 2-2 on May 9, 2026. Across the summarized series from De Graafschap’s perspective, the record is one win, two draws and two defeats, with averages of 1.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. Those figures again point toward a fixture in which chances at both ends are plausible rather than a straightforward low-scoring contest.

The goal markets reflect that outlook. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.36, while under 2.5 is available at 3.10. Both teams to score is offered at 1.33, compared with 3.25 for the opposite outcome. The supplied probabilities give 67% to over 2.5 goals and 66% to both teams scoring. With De Graafschap scoring consistently at home, Almere City carrying a long away scoring streak, and both teams repeatedly featuring in matches with at least two goals, the higher-scoring option is the most coherent conclusion.

De Graafschap vs Almere City prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 67% probability.