De Graafschap host FC Den Bosch on September 27, 2026, in an Eerste Divisie fixture between two teams occupying the lower reaches of the standings. The match takes place at Stadion De Vijverberg in Doetinchem, with kick-off scheduled for 12:30 local time. De Graafschap enter the contest in 20th place after collecting four points from seven matches, while FC Den Bosch are 16th with seven points. Neither side has found consistent form, but their recent results and defensive records suggest that this meeting could provide plenty of goalmouth action. De Graafschap have conceded in each of their last 12 matches, while FC Den Bosch have allowed at least one goal in 15 consecutive fixtures. With both teams looking for an important result, this Eerste Divisie match carries considerable significance despite the campaign still being at an early stage.

De Graafschap Recent Form and Key Statistics

De Graafschap have made a difficult start to their league campaign, recording one victory, one draw and five defeats. Their season averages underline the problems they have experienced at both ends of the pitch: they are scoring 1.1 goals per match while conceding 2.9. Those numbers have left them at the bottom of the Eerste Divisie standings ahead of this home fixture.

Their most recent game ended in a 2-1 defeat against NAC Breda on September 20. Across the last five matches, De Graafschap have won once and lost four times, with no draws. They scored an average of 1.0 goals per game during that sequence but conceded 2.8, demonstrating how difficult it has been for them to keep opponents under control.

The five-game run included defeats against VVV-Venlo, Almere City FC, Heracles Almelo and NAC Breda. Their only victory in that period came away to FC Emmen, where they secured a 2-1 result. Although the overall form is concerning, their scoring record at home offers some encouragement. De Graafschap have found the net in each of their last 18 home matches, including their previous 17 home fixtures in the Eerste Divisie.

• Season record: one win, one draw and five defeats.
• Last five matches: one win and four defeats.
• Recent scoring average: 1.0 goal per match.
• Recent concession average: 2.8 goals per match.
• Home goal trend: over 2.5 total goals in nine consecutive home matches.

The wider goal statistics also point toward open games. At least two total goals have been recorded in 37 of De Graafschap's last 40 matches, while their previous nine home fixtures have all produced over 2.5 goals. In addition, both teams scored during the first half in each of their last four Eerste Divisie home matches. De Graafschap therefore bring a combination of reliable home scoring and persistent defensive vulnerability into this encounter.

FC Den Bosch Recent Form and Key Statistics

FC Den Bosch arrive with slightly better results than their hosts. Their Eerste Divisie record stands at two victories, one draw and four defeats, placing them four positions above De Graafschap. They have averaged 1.7 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per match this season, so their games have also tended to feature opportunities at both ends.

The visitors defeated Helmond Sport 2-1 on September 18, bringing an end to a sequence of three successive losses. Before that difficult run, FC Den Bosch recorded a 5-2 victory against FC Eindhoven. They then suffered defeats against Vitesse, Jong PSV and FC Volendam before responding with their win over Helmond Sport.

Across their last five matches, FC Den Bosch have earned two wins and suffered three defeats. They averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded during that period. Their attacking return is stronger than De Graafschap's recent average, but the visitors have likewise struggled to protect their own goal. FC Den Bosch have conceded in each of their last 15 matches and in all of their previous 18 away fixtures.

• Season record: two wins, one draw and four defeats.
• Last five matches: two wins and three defeats.
• Recent scoring average: 1.8 goals per match.
• Recent concession average: 2.4 goals per match.
• Away trend: at least two total goals in 18 consecutive away matches.

The same pattern remains visible when only league games are considered. FC Den Bosch have conceded in their last 17 Eerste Divisie away matches, and each of those fixtures contained over 1.5 total goals. Their last 13 league games have also produced at least two goals, with the visitors conceding in every one of them. FC Den Bosch have been behind at half-time in 11 of their last 18 away matches, while both teams scored in the second half in nine of their previous 15 league trips.

De Graafschap vs FC Den Bosch Match Analysis

The available statistics create a strong case for an entertaining match. De Graafschap have scored in 18 straight home fixtures but have conceded in 12 consecutive matches overall. FC Den Bosch, meanwhile, have conceded in 18 successive away games and have seen over 1.5 goals in every match across that same sequence. Both teams have therefore shown that they can contribute in attack without offering much defensive security.

The probability data gives De Graafschap a 43% chance of winning, compared with 36% for FC Den Bosch and 22% for the draw. The hosts also hold the stronger recent head-to-head record, with three wins and two draws from the summarized meetings against FC Den Bosch. Across that sequence, De Graafschap averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. However, the latest encounter finished 1-1 on January 26, 2026, showing that the visitors were able to avoid defeat in the most recent meeting.

Current goal trends may be more relevant than the historical head-to-head advantage. De Graafschap's last nine home matches all went over 2.5 goals, and FC Den Bosch's last 18 away games each produced at least two. The supplied probabilities rate over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams to score at 67%. With De Graafschap conceding an average of 2.9 goals this season and FC Den Bosch allowing 2.3 per game, defensive improvement would be required from both sides to turn this into a low-scoring contest.

The hosts can draw confidence from their long home scoring streak, while FC Den Bosch arrive after scoring twice in a victory over Helmond Sport. At the same time, neither team has produced a draw in its last five matches, and both have lost more often than they have won during that period. The combination of regular goals, repeated concessions and high-scoring home results makes the total-goals market the clearest statistical angle for this Eerste Divisie preview.

De Graafschap vs FC Den Bosch prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 68% probability.