Tools
De Graafschap
3 - 1
FT
Helmond Sport
Prediction published on Nov 19, 2025 8:05 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Nov 19, 2025 8:05 PM
The Keuken Kampioen Divisie continues on Friday, November 21, with an intriguing clash between De Graafschap and Helmond Sport. As the competition reaches matchday 17, both sides are looking to strengthen their positions in the standings and gain momentum before the winter break. De Graafschap currently sit seventh in the table with 22 points from 14 matches, while Helmond Sport occupy twelfth place with 19 points from 15 games. The home side will aim to close the gap to the top six, whereas the visitors hope to halt their recent poor run and climb back into the upper half of the standings.
De Graafschap have shown flashes of quality in recent weeks, collecting three wins from their last five outings across all competitions. Their victories came against Jong PSV (3-2), FC Den Bosch (1-2), and RKC Waalwijk (1-4), while they were held to a 1-1 draw by TOP Oss and suffered a 4-2 defeat to GVVV in the KNVB Cup. This run highlights their attacking potential but also exposes defensive vulnerabilities, as they have conceded in every one of their last 17 league matches.
In the Eerste Divisie this season, De Graafschap’s record stands at 6 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats. They average 1.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game, reflecting a balanced but unpredictable profile. Matches involving the Superboeren have been consistently entertaining, with Over 1.5 goals scored in each of their last 12 league fixtures. Furthermore, at least one goal has been scored in the second half of their last 10 matches, showing their tendency to remain active and dangerous after the break.
Set pieces have also been a recurring feature in De Graafschap’s games, with Over 7.5 corners recorded in 19 of their last 20 Eerste Divisie encounters. Their attacking approach, combined with defensive openness, often leads to end-to-end football. Playing at home, they will look to capitalize on their offensive rhythm and the support of their fans to secure another crucial victory.
Helmond Sport have endured a difficult spell, losing four of their last five matches. Their only win during this period came in a convincing 0-3 triumph over TOP Oss. However, defeats against FC Den Bosch (1-0), FC Dordrecht (1-2), PEC Zwolle (1-4), and Jong PSV (2-3) have underlined their inconsistency and defensive fragility. Despite these setbacks, the team remains competitive in most games, often managing to score even when losing.
Across the season, Helmond Sport have registered 6 wins, 1 draw, and 8 defeats, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match. Their offensive output has been decent, but defensive lapses have cost them valuable points. The team’s away form has been particularly concerning, as they struggle to maintain concentration and composure against higher-ranked opponents. Nevertheless, their attacking style ensures that their matches are rarely dull, with both teams finding the net in a majority of their recent fixtures.
Historically, Helmond Sport have found it challenging against De Graafschap. In their last five head-to-head meetings, they have won twice and lost three times, including a heavy 1-4 defeat in May 2025. That result will still be fresh in their minds as they prepare for another tough trip to Doetinchem.
This fixture promises to deliver attacking football and plenty of goalmouth action. De Graafschap’s recent performances suggest they are rediscovering their rhythm, particularly in front of goal. Their ability to score multiple times per game, combined with their defensive vulnerabilities, often leads to open contests. The home side’s main challenge will be maintaining defensive discipline while exploiting Helmond Sport’s weaknesses at the back.
Helmond Sport, on the other hand, will aim to stay compact and hit on the counterattack. Their attacking players have shown flashes of creativity, but the team’s defensive structure has been inconsistent. To get a result at De Vijverberg, they will need to improve their organization and avoid conceding early goals, something that has plagued them in recent weeks. Given both teams’ tendencies to concede, a high-scoring encounter cannot be ruled out.
In terms of recent trends, both sides have been involved in matches with Over 2.5 goals and Both Teams To Score outcomes. De Graafschap’s home advantage and superior form make them the favorites, but Helmond Sport’s ability to find the net means the visitors could still pose a threat. The last meeting between the two sides ended 1-4, and a similarly lively contest could unfold again on Friday night.
De Graafschap vs Helmond Sport prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is a De Graafschap win (1) with a 61% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 19%, while a Helmond Sport win (2) stands at 20%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
De Graafschap
Helmond Sport
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
1
9
3
7
2.5
2
8
7
3
3.5
4
6
7
3
4.5
7
3
9
1