The upcoming round of the Eerste Divisie brings an intriguing clash between De Graafschap and Jong Ajax, scheduled for Friday, February 6. The match will take place at De Vijverberg in Doetinchem, where the home side will look to strengthen their position in the upper half of the table. De Graafschap currently sit sixth with 39 points, while Jong Ajax occupy the bottom spot with just 19 points from 24 games. Despite the gap in the standings, recent form suggests that this encounter could be more balanced than expected.

De Graafschap’s Recent Form and Key Stats

De Graafschap have been consistent performers this season, collecting 11 wins, 6 draws and 8 defeats in the Eerste Divisie. They average 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, showing both attacking intent and some defensive vulnerability. In their last five outings, they have managed one win, two draws and two losses, scoring an average of 1.2 goals while conceding 1.8. Their most recent result was a goalless draw against Helmond Sport on January 31, following another 1-1 draw with FC Den Bosch.

At home, De Graafschap’s matches tend to be lively. Over 1.5 total goals have been scored in each of their last ten home fixtures in the league, and in 22 of their last 23 matches overall. However, their defense has struggled to keep clean sheets, conceding at least once in 26 of their last 28 league games. The team’s attacking consistency is often offset by lapses at the back, which could make this match another open contest.

• Ranking: 6th in Eerste Divisie


• Season record: 11 wins, 6 draws, 8 losses


• Average goals scored: 1.8 per match


• Average goals conceded: 1.6 per match


• Over 1.5 goals in 21 of last 22 league matches


• At least one goal conceded in 25 of last 27 matches

Jong Ajax’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Jong Ajax may be bottom of the table, but their recent performances have shown signs of improvement. They ended 2025 with two defeats but started 2026 unbeaten in three matches, including victories over Jong AZ (2-1) and Willem II (2-1), and a 2-2 draw with Roda JC. Their last five games have produced two wins, one draw and two losses, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match.

Defensively, Jong Ajax remain fragile, having conceded at least one goal in each of their last 19 away league matches. However, their games are rarely dull: over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of their last 20 league fixtures, and both teams have found the net in the second half of four consecutive away matches. This pattern suggests that the young Ajax side often grow into games, making them a potential threat even when trailing.

• Ranking: 20th in Eerste Divisie


• Season record: 4 wins, 7 draws, 13 losses


• Average goals scored: 1.4 per match


• Average goals conceded: 1.9 per match


• At least one goal conceded in last 19 away matches


• Over 0.5 goals in the second half in last 12 away matches

De Graafschap vs Jong Ajax Analysis and Prediction

Although the standings suggest a clear favorite, the recent form of both sides points toward a competitive encounter. De Graafschap’s attack has been reliable, but their defense often allows opponents back into games. Jong Ajax, meanwhile, have shown resilience and attacking flair in recent weeks, remaining unbeaten in their last three matches and scoring in each of them. The last head-to-head meeting between these teams ended 2-2, underlining how evenly matched they can be despite their league positions.

Statistically, this fixture leans toward goals. Both teams have been involved in high-scoring matches, with Over 2.5 goals occurring in 74% of their recent games combined. Additionally, both teams have scored in the majority of their recent fixtures, supported by a 67% probability for Both Teams To Score – Yes. De Graafschap’s home advantage and attacking numbers make them slight favorites, but Jong Ajax’s recent momentum could see them take something from this match.

Given the balance of form and the statistical trends, a draw remains a realistic outcome, as also suggested by previous encounters. However, goals are expected on both sides, making this an entertaining fixture for neutral fans.

De Graafschap vs Jong Ajax prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 74% probability.