Tools
De Graafschap
5 - 0
FT
Jong AZ
Prediction published on Apr 4, 2026 4:08 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Apr 4, 2026 4:08 PM
The upcoming Eerste Divisie clash between De Graafschap and Jong AZ promises to deliver an intriguing Monday night encounter in the 35th round of the season. With the home side sitting comfortably in the upper part of the table and the visitors fighting in the lower half, the match appears uneven on paper, yet both teams have shown unpredictable form in recent weeks. De Graafschap are chasing consistency to secure a strong position for the promotion play-offs, while Jong AZ will look to extend their recent positive run and cause an upset away from home.
De Graafschap currently occupy the 4th position in the Eerste Divisie standings with 56 points from 34 matches. Their campaign has been marked by alternating results, with 16 wins, 8 draws, and 10 defeats so far. Despite their solid ranking, inconsistency has prevented them from challenging for the top spot. In their last five outings, they recorded two victories, one draw, and two losses, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Their most recent result was a 2-2 draw against FC Eindhoven on April 3, 2026.
At home, De Graafschap have been reliable in attack, having scored at least one goal in each of their last 15 home fixtures. Their matches tend to be open and entertaining, with Over 1.5 goals recorded in 30 of their last 32 league games. Furthermore, the second half often brings action, as at least one goal has been scored after the break in 28 of their last 30 matches. Corners are also a common feature, with over 7.5 corners taken in 25 of their last 27 games. These numbers underline their attacking intent and the dynamic nature of their home performances.
Jong AZ approach this fixture in improved form, having won their last two matches. They defeated SC Cambuur 4-3 in a thrilling encounter and followed it up with a 2-0 home victory over Helmond Sport. Before that, they drew 1-1 with MVV Maastricht and suffered two narrow defeats against RKC Waalwijk (2-1) and FC Emmen (3-2). Over their last five games, they have collected two wins, one draw, and two losses, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match.
In the overall standings, Jong AZ sit 16th with 37 points from 34 matches, reflecting a season of ups and downs. Their attacking approach often leads to high-scoring encounters: Over 1.5 goals have been recorded in each of their last 17 league games, and the same trend applies to their last 12 away fixtures. They also tend to start matches energetically, with at least one goal scored before half-time in 19 of their last 20 Eerste Divisie outings. Both teams have found the net in the first half in 11 of their last 18 away matches, highlighting Jong AZ’s open style of play.
Historically, De Graafschap have had the upper hand in this fixture, winning three of the last five meetings, drawing one, and losing one. The most recent encounter ended 3-1 in favor of Jong AZ on September 22, 2025, suggesting that the visitors are capable of surprising their hosts. On average, matches between these two sides produce 4.0 total goals, with De Graafschap scoring 2.4 and conceding 1.6 per game in head-to-head clashes.
Both teams tend to play attacking football, which often leads to open and entertaining matches. De Graafschap’s home strength and ability to score consistently make them favorites, but Jong AZ’s recent momentum and offensive efficiency could make this a closer contest than the table suggests. Given both sides’ scoring patterns, goals are expected at both ends, especially in the second half when both teams usually find their rhythm.
According to the latest data, the win probabilities stand at De Graafschap 55%, Draw 20%, and Jong AZ 25%. The likelihood of Both Teams To Score – Yes is 66%, while Over 2.5 goals also holds a 66% probability. These figures align with both teams’ recent attacking trends and defensive vulnerabilities.
Considering the offensive consistency of De Graafschap at home and the recent scoring form of Jong AZ, the most likely scenario points towards a high-scoring encounter with both sides contributing on the scoresheet.
De Graafschap vs Jong AZ prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 66% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
De Graafschap
Jong AZ
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
0
10
2.5
2
8
4
6
3.5
4
6
6
4
4.5
7
3
7
3