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Prediction published on Oct 22, 2025 8:11 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Oct 22, 2025 9:17 PM
The Keuken Kampioen Divisie continues on Friday, October 24, with an intriguing clash between De Graafschap and Jong PSV at Stadion De Vijverberg. Kick-off is scheduled for 20:00 local time, and both sides will be eager to bounce back after recent mixed results. The hosts are looking to climb into the top half of the table, while the visitors aim to rediscover their early-season form after a noticeable dip in performance.
De Graafschap have endured an inconsistent start to their Eerste Divisie campaign. After 11 matches, they sit 13th in the standings with 13 points from 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats. Their most recent outing ended in a 1-1 draw against TOP Oss on October 18, following a 2-0 loss to Cambuur Leeuwarden the previous week. The team’s attacking output has been modest, averaging 1.5 goals scored per match, while conceding an average of 1.6 goals.
One of the bright spots for the Superboeren has been Reuven Niemeijer, who has already netted six goals this season, accounting for a significant portion of the team’s total of 16. However, defensive frailties remain a concern — De Graafschap have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 14 league matches. Despite this, they remain a competitive side at home, often managing to find the net, as evidenced by the fact that Over 0.5 goals have been scored in 34 of their last 35 league games.
Coach and supporters alike will hope that the team’s fighting spirit at De Vijverberg can make the difference against a Jong PSV side that, while talented, has shown signs of vulnerability in recent weeks. De Graafschap’s ability to stay compact and capitalize on set pieces could prove decisive in a match where both defenses have struggled to keep clean sheets.
Jong PSV began the 2025/26 season in impressive fashion, winning six of their first seven matches. However, their momentum has stalled dramatically in recent weeks. The young Eindhoven side have gone five games without a win, collecting only three points during that stretch. Their latest fixture ended in a 0-3 defeat to league leaders ADO Den Haag on October 20, a result that exposed their defensive frailties.
Despite their recent slump, Jong PSV remain 4th in the table with 21 points from 6 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses. They have been one of the most entertaining teams to watch this season, scoring 1.9 goals per game but also conceding 1.5 on average. Their matches are rarely dull — Over 1.5 goals have been scored in 27 of their last 29 league fixtures, and Over 0.5 goals at half time have occurred in 37 of their last 40 games. This attacking approach, while exciting, often leaves them exposed at the back.
Striker Robin van Duiven has been the standout performer, already scoring eight goals this season. His movement and finishing ability make him a constant threat, but the team’s defensive lapses have cost them valuable points. Jong PSV have also conceded at least one goal in 37 of their last 40 Eerste Divisie matches, underlining the need for greater balance between attack and defense. Away from home, they tend to produce open, high-scoring encounters — Over 1.5 goals have been recorded in each of their last 14 away games.
This fixture brings together two sides that have struggled for consistency but rarely fail to entertain. Historically, De Graafschap have had the upper hand in this matchup, winning four of the last five meetings, including a 2-1 victory earlier this year. The hosts’ home advantage and slightly steadier recent form could play a key role, especially against a Jong PSV team that has been leaking goals.
Both teams are known for their attacking intent, and given their defensive records, another high-scoring affair seems likely. De Graafschap’s tendency to concede but also score regularly, combined with Jong PSV’s open style, suggests that spectators can expect plenty of action at both ends. The Superboeren will rely on Niemeijer’s finishing touch, while Jong PSV will look to Van Duiven to continue his scoring streak.
While the visitors have shown flashes of brilliance, their recent decline and defensive instability make this a challenging trip. De Graafschap, on the other hand, have been difficult to beat at home and could capitalize on their opponent’s current struggles. A close contest is expected, but the hosts appear slightly better positioned to secure a positive result.
BetMines Prediction:
The most likely outcome is a De Graafschap win (1) with a 67% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 17%, while a Jong PSV win (2) stands at 15%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
De Graafschap
Jong PSV
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
4
6
2.5
2
8
8
2
3.5
4
6
9
1
4.5
7
3
9
1