De Graafschap host NAC Breda in the Eerste Divisie on Sunday, September 20, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 14:45 local time at Stadion De Vijverberg. Both teams have endured difficult starts to the campaign and enter this fixture needing a positive result. De Graafschap are 19th after collecting four points from six matches, while NAC Breda occupy 13th place with seven points from the same number of games. Although neither side has produced consistent results, their recent matches have regularly featured goals. De Graafschap have scored in each of their last 18 home fixtures, while NAC Breda have been involved in 11 consecutive matches containing at least two total goals. Those trends give this De Graafschap vs NAC Breda preview a clear attacking focus despite the clubs' disappointing early-season records.

De Graafschap Recent Form and Key Statistics

De Graafschap finally earned their first league victory of the season when they defeated FC Emmen 2-1 away from home on September 11. That result ended a sequence of four consecutive losses. During that run, De Graafschap were beaten 5-2 by Jong AZ, 2-1 by VVV-Venlo, 4-1 by Almere City FC and 5-0 by Heracles Almelo. The win against FC Emmen therefore represented an important response after a particularly demanding period.

The home team's last five matches have produced one victory and four defeats. Across those fixtures, De Graafschap averaged 1.2 goals scored and 3.4 conceded per game. Their broader Eerste Divisie record stands at one win, one draw and four losses, with averages of 1.2 goals for and 3.0 against. The defensive numbers help explain their position, but the ability to find the net at home offers a more encouraging sign before this contest.

De Graafschap have scored at least once in each of their previous 18 home matches, including their last 17 home games in the Eerste Divisie. Their fixtures also tend to produce more than one goal: over 1.5 total goals have been recorded in 37 of their last 40 matches. In addition, 36 of those 40 games contained at least one second-half goal.

• De Graafschap have a league record of one win, one draw and four defeats.
• They average 1.2 goals scored and 3.0 conceded in the Eerste Divisie this season.
• They have scored in 18 consecutive home matches.
• Their last 13 home fixtures have all featured at least one goal after half-time.

The recent victory may provide encouragement, but the number of goals conceded remains a major concern. De Graafschap have allowed an average of more than three goals per game across their latest five outings, so another home goal may not be enough unless their defensive performance improves.

NAC Breda Recent Form and Key Statistics

NAC Breda arrive after a 3-2 defeat against Jong FC Utrecht on September 11. Their latest five-match sequence has also been inconsistent. NAC lost 2-0 to VVV-Venlo, responded with a 3-2 victory over Jong Ajax and then drew 2-2 with Roda JC. That was followed by a 4-2 loss against RKC Waalwijk and the 3-2 defeat to Jong FC Utrecht.

Over those five matches, NAC Breda recorded one win, one draw and three defeats. They averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.6 conceded, illustrating how their attacking output has been accompanied by repeated defensive problems. Their season record in the Eerste Divisie is two victories, one draw and three losses, with averages of 1.8 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per fixture.

The visitors have seen over 1.5 total goals in each of their last 11 matches. Their away fixtures have also remained active after the interval, as every one of NAC Breda's previous 11 away games has included at least one second-half goal. Another notable statistic is that NAC have been behind at half-time in six of their last ten matches on the road.

• NAC Breda have registered two wins, one draw and three defeats this season.
• They average 1.8 goals for and 2.3 against per league game.
• Their last 11 matches have all produced over 1.5 total goals.
• At least one second-half goal has been scored in their previous 11 away fixtures.

NAC Breda's scoring average is higher than De Graafschap's, but the visitors have not shown enough defensive stability to control games consistently. They have conceded at least twice in four of the five results listed in their recent sequence, while scoring two or more goals in four of those fixtures. That combination has repeatedly created open contests.

De Graafschap vs NAC Breda Match Analysis

The available numbers point towards a competitive Eerste Divisie match in which both attacks should have opportunities. De Graafschap have the advantage of playing at Stadion De Vijverberg and possess a long home scoring sequence, but their defensive record makes it difficult to view them as clear favorites. NAC Breda have scored more frequently this season, yet they have also conceded an average of 2.3 goals per league game.

The calculated win probabilities give NAC Breda a 45% chance of victory, compared with 30% for De Graafschap and 25% for the draw. However, the goals markets receive particularly strong statistical support. Both teams to score is assessed at 66%, while over 2.5 goals carries a 64% probability. The contrast with the most recent head-to-head meeting is notable, as that fixture ended 0-0 on February 2, 2024.

The wider head-to-head summary from De Graafschap's perspective reads one win, two draws and two defeats, with averages of 0.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Those historical figures suggest previous meetings have not always followed the high-scoring pattern seen in the teams' current results. Even so, the present-season data are difficult to ignore: De Graafschap are conceding three goals per league match on average, and NAC Breda are allowing 2.3.

De Graafschap's sequence of scoring in 18 straight home games supports their prospects of getting on the scoresheet, while NAC Breda's average of 1.8 goals per match gives the visitors a credible attacking route. With both clubs conceding regularly and neither showing consistent form, goals at both ends appear more strongly supported than a decisive prediction on the final winner.

De Graafschap vs NAC Breda prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 66% probability.