De Graafschap host RKC Waalwijk at Stadion De Vijverberg in Doetinchem on Friday, October 23, with kick-off scheduled for 18:00 local time. The Eerste Divisie fixture brings together two sides whose results have varied over the opening 11 matches. De Graafschap are 17th with 11 points, while RKC sit 10th with 15. The four-point gap leaves the visitors ahead, but recent results offer neither team a clear claim to momentum. De Graafschap have won twice in their last five games; RKC have won once over the same span. Their scoring records, however, suggest that both sides can make an impact in this match.

De Graafschap's Recent Form and Key Stats

De Graafschap have recorded three wins, two draws and six defeats in the Eerste Divisie this season. They average 1.3 goals scored per match and 2.3 conceded, a contrast that helps explain why their position remains difficult despite finding the net regularly. Their latest outing ended in a 2-1 defeat to Jong Ajax on October 19.

Results across their last five fixtures underline that inconsistency. De Graafschap beat FC Den Bosch 1-0 and Jong FC Utrecht 2-1, and drew 2-2 with FC Eindhoven. They also lost to NAC Breda and Jong Ajax. That sequence amounts to two wins, one draw and two defeats, with averages of 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. The two victories show they can respond to setbacks, but they have yet to turn those results into a sustained run.

Home scoring is one of the strongest indicators in their favour. De Graafschap have scored at least once in each of their last 18 home matches, including their last 17 at home in the Eerste Divisie. Their games have also tended to feature early action: there has been at least one first-half goal in each of their last 13 matches and each of their last 11 home fixtures. Both teams scored before half-time in nine of De Graafschap's last 15 matches. Those figures do not guarantee a fast start on Friday, but they give RKC reason to expect a test from the hosts.

RKC Waalwijk's Recent Form and Key Stats

RKC Waalwijk have three wins, six draws and two defeats from their 11 league matches. They average 1.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Their six draws are particularly relevant to this fixture: RKC have generally avoided defeat, yet have often had to settle for a point rather than a win. They arrive after a 1-1 draw with FC Volendam on October 18.

RKC's last five matches began with a 6-1 victory over MVV Maastricht, but they have not won since. They lost 2-0 to Roda JC and 3-0 to Heracles, while also drawing 1-1 with both FC Emmen and FC Volendam. Their five-game record stands at one win, two draws and two defeats, with averages of 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. The emphatic result against MVV shows what RKC have produced going forward, although their subsequent four matches present a more restrained picture.

Across a longer stretch, RKC's matches have consistently featured goals. Their last 32 Eerste Divisie games have each contained more than 1.5 total goals, as have their last 20 away matches across competitions. They have scored at least once in 31 of their last 33 league fixtures. There has also been a second-half goal in each of RKC's last 18 matches, and in 19 of their last 20 away games. Those are match-wide scoring trends rather than a promise that RKC will score in a particular half, but they point to contests that rarely remain quiet throughout.

De Graafschap vs RKC Waalwijk Match Analysis

The gap between the sides in the table is clear, yet the available results make this a less straightforward match than those positions alone might suggest. De Graafschap have won two of their last five and have a long home scoring streak, while RKC Waalwijk have collected more points this season but are winless in four. The supplied win probabilities are close, at 39% for De Graafschap and 37% for RKC, with a draw at 24%. Rather than pointing strongly to either side, those figures reinforce how finely balanced the result appears.

Goals provide a clearer thread through the preview. De Graafschap's season averages of 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded meet an RKC side averaging 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded. The hosts have scored in 18 straight home matches, and the visitors have found the net in 31 of their last 33 league games. Both teams have also conceded in recent fixtures. Their most recent head-to-head meeting, on January 23, 2026, finished 2-4; across the supplied five-match head-to-head summary, De Graafschap have three wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded.

Early goals in De Graafschap's matches and the repeated second-half goals in RKC's fixtures leave several possible routes for this game to open up. The strongest case, though, is not for a particular winner or scoring time. It is that each team has a documented record of finding goals, while neither season-long defensive average suggests a consistently closed contest.

De Graafschap vs RKC Waalwijk prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 66% probability.