Tools
De Graafschap
2 - 3
FT
Roda JC Kerkrade
Prediction published on Dec 10, 2025 8:06 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Dec 10, 2025 8:06 PM
The upcoming Eerste Divisie clash between De Graafschap and Roda JC Kerkrade promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the weekend. Scheduled for Friday, December 12, 2025, at the Stadion De Vijverberg in Doetinchem, this encounter brings together two sides heading in opposite directions in the league table. De Graafschap are flying high in third place with 34 points from 19 matches, while Roda JC have slipped to seventh after a worrying run of form. Both teams will be eager to secure a positive result to strengthen their promotion ambitions in the Dutch second tier.
De Graafschap enter this match in excellent shape, having won four of their last five league games. Their only setback came in a narrow 3-2 defeat away to leaders ADO Den Haag. Apart from that, they have recorded victories over Helmond Sport (3-1), FC Eindhoven (2-0), Vitesse (1-2), and most recently Jong FC Utrecht (2-3). This strong run has consolidated their position among the top three and boosted confidence within the squad.
At home, De Graafschap have been particularly resilient, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches at the Vijverberg. Their attacking output has been impressive, averaging 2.0 goals per game this season, while conceding 1.5 goals on average. The team’s matches tend to be open and entertaining, with Over 1.5 goals scored in each of their last 17 fixtures. Defensively, however, they have shown some vulnerability, having conceded at least once in 21 of their last 22 league games.
Another notable trend is their consistency in second halves — Over 0.5 goals have been scored after the break in 20 of their last 22 Eerste Divisie matches. This suggests that De Graafschap often find their rhythm as the game progresses, a factor that could prove decisive against a struggling opponent like Roda JC.
In stark contrast, Roda JC Kerkrade are enduring a difficult spell. After a promising start to the campaign, the Limburg side have failed to win any of their last five league matches, collecting just two points in that span. Their recent results include draws against FC Emmen (1-1) and MVV Maastricht (0-0), alongside defeats to ADO Den Haag (4-0), FC Dordrecht (1-2), and Jong AZ (2-3). This poor run has seen them slide down to seventh place with 28 points from 19 games.
Roda JC’s attacking efficiency has dropped significantly, averaging only 0.8 goals scored per match in their last five outings while conceding 2.0 goals on average. Over the course of the season, they have managed 1.6 goals per game and conceded 1.4, but their recent performances show a worrying decline in both ends of the pitch. Despite their struggles, Roda JC remain a side capable of producing goals, with Over 0.5 goals in the second half recorded in 35 of their last 39 matches — a sign that they rarely go down without a fight.
However, their defensive lapses and lack of cutting edge up front have cost them valuable points. Facing a confident De Graafschap side away from home will be a stern test, especially given that Roda JC have not tasted victory in over a month.
This fixture brings together two clubs with contrasting momentum. De Graafschap are currently one of the most in-form teams in the Eerste Divisie, combining attacking flair with a strong home record. Their ability to score consistently — and often in both halves — makes them a dangerous opponent for any side. The hosts’ recent dominance in head-to-head meetings also adds to their confidence, having won two of the last five encounters and losing only once. Their last meeting earlier this season ended in a narrow 1-0 victory for De Graafschap, further underlining their edge in this matchup.
Roda JC, on the other hand, are in the midst of a form crisis. Their inability to convert chances and defensive instability have been evident in recent weeks. The team’s morale appears low, and a trip to Doetinchem is unlikely to offer any respite. To get a result, they will need to rediscover the attacking sharpness that characterized their early-season performances. Yet, given De Graafschap’s current momentum and home advantage, the visitors will have to produce something special to avoid another setback.
Historically, matches between these two sides have been competitive but relatively low-scoring, with an average of 2.0 goals per game across their last five meetings. However, given both teams’ current defensive records, this encounter could see more goalmouth action than usual. De Graafschap’s attacking form and Roda JC’s leaky defense suggest that goals are likely at both ends.
The most likely outcome is a De Graafschap win (1) with a 53% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 20%, while a Roda JC Kerkrade win (2) stands at 27%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
De Graafschap
Roda JC Kerkrade
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
0
10
3
7
2.5
1
9
7
3
3.5
4
6
8
2
4.5
4
6
9
1