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De Graafschap
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Vitesse
Prediction published on Mar 6, 2026 1:03 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Mar 6, 2026 1:03 PM
The upcoming clash between De Graafschap and Vitesse in the Keuken Kampioen Divisie promises to be an intriguing encounter as both sides aim to strengthen their positions in the table. With the season entering its decisive phase, every point becomes crucial. De Graafschap currently sit comfortably in the upper part of the standings, while Vitesse continue their battle to climb away from the lower ranks after a challenging start to the campaign. The meeting in Doetinchem could therefore play a key role in shaping the ambitions of both clubs for the remainder of the season.
De Graafschap have been one of the most consistent teams in the Eerste Divisie this season. They occupy third place in the table with 49 points, having recorded 14 wins, 7 draws and 8 defeats. Their attacking output has been impressive, averaging 1.9 goals scored per match, while conceding 1.5 on average. The team’s recent form has been particularly strong, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches — three wins and two draws — with an average of 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game.
In their most recent outing, De Graafschap drew 3-3 against MVV Maastricht, showing both their attacking potential and occasional defensive lapses. At home, they have been reliable, scoring at least one goal in each of their last 12 home matches. Their first-half performances have also been noteworthy, leading at the break in six of their last ten home fixtures. The team’s matches tend to be lively affairs, with Over 1.5 goals recorded in 25 of their last 27 games and Over 0.5 goals in the second half in 23 of their last 25. Corner statistics also highlight their attacking intent, as Over 8.5 corners have been taken in 31 of their last 34 league matches.
With such consistency, De Graafschap enter this fixture as clear favourites, especially given their strong home record and attacking rhythm.
Vitesse have endured a turbulent season but have shown signs of improvement in recent weeks. After starting the campaign with a points deduction, they now sit 18th in the standings with 27 points. Their season record stands at 10 wins, 9 draws and 10 defeats, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. In their last five games, they have managed two wins, two draws and one defeat, scoring 1.4 goals per game on average.
Their most recent result was a convincing 2-0 victory over Jong AZ, a performance that will boost confidence ahead of this trip to Doetinchem. However, away from home, Vitesse have often struggled to maintain consistency, losing at half time in six of their last ten away fixtures. Despite this, their matches are rarely dull: Over 1.5 goals have been scored in 34 of their last 36 games, and Over 0.5 goals at half time in 32 of their last 35 league encounters. These numbers suggest that Vitesse’s games tend to be open and entertaining, even if defensive stability remains a concern.
While Vitesse’s recent improvement is encouraging, facing one of the division’s most consistent sides away from home will be a significant test of their resilience.
Historically, this fixture has produced competitive encounters. In their last five head-to-head meetings, De Graafschap have won twice and lost three times, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per match. The most recent meeting ended 1-2, showing that Vitesse are capable of causing problems even when playing away.
Both teams have shown a tendency for high-scoring matches this season, with Over 2.5 goals occurring frequently for both sides. De Graafschap’s attacking consistency and home advantage make them favourites, but Vitesse’s recent form suggests they could still find the net. Given that both teams have scored in a majority of their recent fixtures, another open and entertaining match seems likely.
According to the latest probabilities, De Graafschap have a 61% chance of winning, while a draw stands at 19% and a Vitesse win at 20%. The Both Teams To Score – Yes market is rated at 63%, and Over 2.5 goals at 63%, reinforcing the expectation of an attacking contest.
Taking all factors into account — form, statistics, and head-to-head history — this match could deliver goals and excitement. De Graafschap’s home strength and Vitesse’s improving attack point towards a lively encounter that may remain balanced until the final whistle.
De Graafschap vs Vitesse prediction by BetMines:
Over 2.5 goals with 63% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
De Graafschap
Vitesse
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
2
8
4
6
3.5
4
6
6
4
4.5
7
3
7
3