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Prediction published on Jan 18, 2026 6:02 PM by Dario in Netherlands - KNVB Beker | Modified on Jan 18, 2026 6:02 PM
The KNVB Cup round of 16 brings an intriguing clash between De Treffers and NEC Nijmegen. These two sides have met before in this competition, most notably in October 2014 when NEC triumphed 1-3 away from home. Much has changed since then, with NEC now competing near the top of the Eredivisie, while De Treffers continue to impress in the Tweede Divisie. This encounter promises to test both teams’ current form and ambitions as they aim to progress further in the cup.
De Treffers enter this match in excellent shape, having won four of their last five games across all competitions. Their most recent outing was a convincing 4-1 victory over Excelsior Maassluis on January 17, 2026. Over that five-match stretch, they have averaged 2.6 goals scored per game while conceding just 0.8, showing both attacking flair and defensive stability.
In the KNVB Cup, De Treffers have recorded two wins and one draw so far, averaging 2.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match. Their home form has been particularly reliable — they have scored at least once in each of their last 18 home fixtures, and in all of their last 12 matches overall. Moreover, they have led at half time in six of their last ten games, including the last three at home. These numbers underline their ability to start strong and maintain control early in matches.
With such consistency, De Treffers will look to use their home advantage to challenge a higher-tier opponent. Their attacking rhythm and confidence in front of goal could make this a competitive tie despite the difference in divisions.
NEC Nijmegen approach this fixture as clear favorites, sitting high in the Eredivisie standings and unbeaten in their last five matches. Their latest result, a thrilling 3-4 away win against NAC Breda on January 17, 2026, showcased their attacking power but also highlighted some defensive vulnerabilities. Over those five games, NEC have averaged 2.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match, reflecting their open and entertaining style of play.
In the KNVB Cup, NEC have been efficient, winning both of their matches so far with an average of 3.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. They have found the net in 24 of their last 25 games and scored at least twice in 22 of those. However, their defense has been less solid away from home, conceding in each of their last 14 away fixtures. Matches involving NEC tend to be high-scoring: over 3.5 goals have been recorded in their last seven games, and both teams have scored in the second half in 11 of their last 17 outings.
NEC’s attacking momentum makes them a dangerous opponent for any side. Their ability to score consistently, even away from home, could prove decisive in this knockout tie. Yet, their tendency to concede might give De Treffers opportunities to strike on the counter.
This KNVB Cup encounter sets up a fascinating contrast between a confident amateur side and a top-flight team in strong form. De Treffers have shown resilience and attacking intent, particularly at home, while NEC Nijmegen bring superior quality and experience from the Eredivisie. The visitors’ recent matches suggest goals are almost guaranteed, as both teams tend to find the net regularly.
Historically, NEC have dominated this matchup, winning both previous meetings, including the 1-3 victory in 2014. However, De Treffers’ current form suggests they won’t go down easily. Expect an open game with plenty of attacking action, especially given both sides’ recent scoring trends and the high probability of goals in both halves.
According to the latest probabilities, NEC Nijmegen hold a 55% chance of winning, while De Treffers have a 25% chance and the draw stands at 20%. The likelihood of Both Teams To Score – Yes is 64%, and Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65%, reinforcing the expectation of an entertaining, goal-filled contest.
De Treffers vs NEC Nijmegen prediction from BetMines: NEC Nijmegen win (2) with 55% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
De Treffers
NEC Nijmegen
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
3
7
0
10
2.5
4
6
4
6
3.5
5
5
6
4
4.5
6
4
7
3