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Defensa y Justicia
1 - 1
FT
Belgrano
Prediction published on Feb 17, 2026 9:04 PM by Dario in Argentina - Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Modified on Feb 17, 2026 9:04 PM
The sixth round of the Argentine Liga Profesional de Fútbol brings an intriguing interzonal clash between Defensa y Justicia and Belgrano de Córdoba. Both sides remain unbeaten so far this season, and their meeting at the Norberto “Tito” Tomaghello Stadium promises to be one of the most balanced fixtures of the week. The home team, known for their disciplined defensive structure, will look to take advantage of their solid start, while the visitors arrive in Buenos Aires full of confidence after back-to-back victories.
Defensa y Justicia have shown remarkable consistency in the opening rounds of the Apertura. Their record of 2 wins and 3 draws keeps them unbeaten, with an average of 1.0 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded per match. The team’s latest result, a 1-1 draw against Vélez Sarsfield on February 14, extended their run to five matches without defeat. Despite not yet winning at home this season, their ability to remain competitive in every game has been a key factor in their current third-place position in Zone A.
In their last five outings, Defensa y Justicia have alternated between wins and draws, showing a pattern of resilience but also a need for greater attacking sharpness. Their matches tend to be tight affairs, with Under 0.5 goals recorded in two of their last ten league games. The team’s defensive organization has been their main strength, allowing them to stay within reach of the top of the table. A victory here could potentially lift them to first place, depending on other results in the group.
Belgrano arrive in Florencio Varela in excellent form, having collected 11 points from their first five matches. Their last two games ended in 1-0 victories over Banfield and Independiente Rivadavia, confirming their ability to manage narrow leads and maintain defensive discipline. With 3 wins and 2 draws so far, the Córdoba side sit third in Zone B, matching Defensa y Justicia’s position in their respective group.
Belgrano’s defensive record is among the best in the league, conceding just 0.4 goals per match on average. Their matches are typically low-scoring, with Under 3.5 goals in each of their last 24 league fixtures and in all of their last 15 away games. This trend reflects a pragmatic approach that prioritizes structure and efficiency over attacking flair. Moreover, they have proven difficult to beat on the road, earning points in six of their last seven away matches (three wins and three draws). Such consistency makes them a dangerous opponent for any home side.
The recent history between these two teams is evenly balanced. In their last five meetings, each side has won twice, with one draw, and an average of 1.0 goals scored by Defensa y Justicia and 1.4 conceded. The most recent encounter ended 2-1 on August 31, 2025, showing that both teams are capable of finding the net when facing each other.
From a tactical perspective, this match is likely to be a battle of patience and precision. Defensa y Justicia will rely on their compact defensive lines and quick transitions, while Belgrano will look to exploit spaces on the counterattack. Given both teams’ defensive records and the prevalence of low-scoring results, a cautious start is expected, with the game potentially opening up in the second half.
Both sides have demonstrated strong defensive organization and a preference for controlled tempo. The key to victory may lie in set pieces or individual moments of brilliance, as neither team tends to concede many chances. With both ranked third in their respective zones, this fixture could have significant implications for qualification to the knockout stage later in the season.
Statistically, this is one of the most balanced fixtures of the round. The win probabilities are nearly identical: Defensa y Justicia 34%, Draw 31%, and Belgrano 35%. Both teams have been difficult to beat, and their defensive numbers suggest another tight contest. The BTTS (Both Teams To Score) probability stands at 42%, while the Under 2.5 goals option appears stronger at 58%.
Given Belgrano’s excellent away form and their ability to keep clean sheets, they might have a slight edge in this encounter. However, Defensa y Justicia’s home advantage and unbeaten record ensure that the match remains finely poised. A draw or a narrow away win seems the most plausible outcome, especially considering the low-scoring tendencies of both sides.
BetMines prediction for Defensa y Justicia vs Belgrano: Under 2.5 goals with 58% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Defensa y Justicia
Belgrano
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
0
10
4
6
2.5
4
6
6
4
3.5
7
3
8
2
4.5
9
1
9
1