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Defensa y Justicia
0 - 0
FT
Estudiantes
Prediction published on Jan 31, 2026 9:03 PM by Dario in Argentina - Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Modified on Jan 31, 2026 9:03 PM
The third round of the Apertura brings an intriguing clash between Defensa y Justicia and Estudiantes de La Plata, scheduled for Monday evening at 19:45 (Argentina time). The match will take place at the Norberto “Tito” Tomaghello Stadium, where the home side will make their first appearance of the season in front of their fans. Both teams arrive with identical records after two rounds, having collected four points each, and both are eager to maintain their unbeaten start. The encounter promises to be a tactical battle between two sides that have shown defensive discipline early in the campaign.
Defensa y Justicia have made a solid start to the new season, remaining unbeaten after two matches. They opened with a goalless draw against Aldosivi and followed it up with a narrow 1-0 victory away to Deportivo Riestra. That win not only gave them confidence but also highlighted their improved defensive structure, as they have yet to concede a goal in the Apertura. This is a significant improvement compared to last season, when defensive lapses often cost them valuable points.
In their last five matches across all competitions, Defensa y Justicia have recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 defeats, averaging just 0.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. However, their recent clean sheets suggest a positive trend. The team’s matches tend to be low-scoring affairs: Under 3.5 goals have been recorded in 21 of their last 22 fixtures. This pattern reflects a cautious approach, prioritizing defensive solidity over attacking risk. Playing at home for the first time this season, the “Halcón” will aim to extend their unbeaten run and build momentum in front of their supporters.
Estudiantes de La Plata, the reigning champions of Argentine football, have also started their title defense in promising fashion. They began with a 1-1 draw away to Independiente and then secured an impressive 2-1 home victory over Boca Juniors. With four points from two matches, the “Pincha” continue to show the consistency that led them to glory last season. Their current unbeaten streak stands at eight matches, including six wins and two draws, underlining their resilience and winning mentality.
Statistically, Estudiantes have been efficient in both attack and defense. Over their last five games, they have achieved 3 wins and 2 draws, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per match while conceding only 0.6. Their matches also tend to be tight: Under 3.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 17 league games, and Under 2.5 goals in their last nine away fixtures. Moreover, at least one team has failed to score at half time in each of their last 28 league matches, a trend that highlights their disciplined defensive organization. As they travel to Florencio Varela, Estudiantes will look to maintain their unbeaten run and demonstrate why they remain one of the most balanced teams in the competition.
Recent meetings between Defensa y Justicia and Estudiantes have been closely contested, often decided by fine margins. In their last five encounters, Estudiantes hold a slight edge with three wins to Defensa’s two. The most recent clash ended 1-0 in September 2025, a result that fits the general pattern of low-scoring games between these sides. On average, their head-to-heads produce just one goal per match, with Defensa scoring 0.4 and conceding 0.6 on average.
From a tactical perspective, both teams rely heavily on defensive organization. Defensa y Justicia’s strength lies in their compact backline and ability to frustrate opponents, while Estudiantes combine defensive discipline with efficient counterattacks. Given these characteristics, the match is likely to be a tight and strategic affair, where a single goal could make the difference. The home side will try to capitalize on their first match at the Tomaghello, while the visitors will aim to impose their champion mentality and extend their unbeaten streak.
Considering the defensive consistency of both teams and their recent scoring patterns, this fixture is expected to be low on goals. The statistical trends strongly support a cautious outlook, with both sides prioritizing structure over risk. According to the latest data, the probability of Both Teams To Score – No stands at 51%, while the Under 2.5 goals option has a 58% likelihood. These figures align with the historical head-to-head record and the current form of both clubs.
Defensa y Justicia vs Estudiantes de La Plata prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score – No with 51% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Defensa y Justicia
Estudiantes
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
0
10
5
5
2.5
4
6
8
2
3.5
7
3
10
0
4.5
9
1
10
0