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Prediction published on Oct 17, 2026 6:02 PM by Dario in Sweden - Allsvenskan | Modified on Oct 17, 2026 6:02 PM
Degerfors host Kalmar at Stora Valla on October 19 in an Allsvenskan match between two closely placed sides. After 23 league games, Degerfors are 13th with 20 points, while 14th-placed Kalmar are one point behind. The gap in league goals is almost as narrow: the hosts have scored 20 and the visitors 21. Recent results, however, tell different stories. Degerfors arrive after a draw, whereas Kalmar are still looking to end a difficult run. Their head-to-head record adds another angle to this match preview, with both teams scoring in each of the last four meetings.
Degerfors drew 1-1 away to Mjällby on October 10. That result gave them a second unbeaten game in four league matches, although their broader run remains mixed: their last five matches have brought one win, two draws and two defeats. They averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across those five games. Their most recent league victory mentioned in the available record was a 2-0 win over Hamlstad.
Across the Allsvenskan season, Degerfors have recorded five wins, five draws and 13 defeats. They average 0.9 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game, figures that help explain why there is so little distance between them and Kalmar before this fixture. Their recent league matches have also stayed below a relatively high goals line: each of their last 10 Allsvenskan games has featured under 3.5 total goals. That statistic concerns goals scored by both teams combined, rather than Degerfors’ own tally.
Timing may be another factor to watch. At least one team has failed to score before half-time in each of Degerfors’ last 20 matches, as well as in 30 of their last 31 Allsvenskan games. Yet their matches have frequently produced something after the break, with at least one second-half goal in 27 of their last 30. Degerfors have also trailed at half-time in 11 of their last 18 league fixtures. Those patterns suggest that an uneventful opening would not, by itself, settle the question of where this match is heading.
Kalmar come into the trip after a 1-0 defeat to Malmö FF on October 12. Their last five matches have yielded no wins, one draw and four defeats, with an average of 0.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. The lack of goals in that five-game spell is an important counterpoint to their encouraging record against Degerfors: past meetings may offer Kalmar confidence, but their immediate attacking form gives them work to do at Stora Valla.
Kalmar’s Allsvenskan record stands at five wins, four draws and 14 defeats. They average 0.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per league game. Although they have scored one more league goal than Degerfors after the same number of matches, they have one point fewer. Their away games have shown a consistent first-half pattern, too: Kalmar have been level at the interval in their last six Allsvenskan away matches. Turning a close contest into a win would be particularly valuable given the narrow gap between the sides.
The visitors can nevertheless point to a stronger recent head-to-head record. Kalmar have won the last three meetings, while the supplied five-match summary from Degerfors’ perspective reads one win, no draws and four defeats. Across those five matches, Degerfors have averaged 1.0 goal scored and 2.0 conceded. The most recent meeting finished 2-1 on May 23, continuing a sequence in which both sides have found the net when facing each other.
There is little to separate these teams on points or goals scored over 23 league fixtures, but each has a distinct reason to approach the match with caution. Degerfors have taken two draws and a win from their last five games, while Kalmar have lost four of their last five and have not scored during that span. Those recent figures make it difficult to treat the visitors’ head-to-head advantage as a guarantee of another positive result.
At the same time, the meetings between the clubs have produced a clear scoring trend: both teams have scored in each of the last four head-to-head matches. Degerfors’ recent 1-1 draw shows they can get on the scoresheet without winning, and Kalmar’s 21 league goals show that their five-match scoring drought has not defined their entire season. Whether the visitors can rediscover a goal is one of the central questions in this Allsvenskan preview.
Degerfors’ run of 10 league games with under 3.5 total goals and Kalmar’s sequence of away half-time draws point towards a contest in which the margins could remain small. The head-to-head scoring record pulls in a different direction from Kalmar’s most recent form, leaving a balanced picture rather than an obvious favourite. With just one point between the teams, goals at both ends would fit the recent history of this fixture, even if Kalmar must improve on their latest attacking results to make that happen.
Degerfors vs Kalmar prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 52% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Degerfors
Kalmar
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
2
8
1.5
1
9
6
4
2.5
7
3
6
4
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
9
1
8
2