The Copa Libertadores qualifying round continues with an exciting second-leg clash between Deportes Tolima and Deportivo Táchira. The Colombian side holds a narrow advantage after winning 1-0 in the first leg, thanks to a goal from Mosquera. Now, back at home, Tolima will look to capitalize on that lead and secure their place in the next stage, while Táchira must find a way to overturn the deficit away from home.

Deportes Tolima’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Deportes Tolima approach this decisive encounter after a 3-2 defeat against Cúcuta Deportivo on February 23, a result that interrupted a positive run of performances. In their previous matches, Tolima had beaten Once Caldas 2-1 and drawn 0-0 with Bucaramanga. Over their last five games, they have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 conceded per match.

In the current Copa Libertadores campaign, Tolima have shown defensive discipline, winning their only match so far with an average of 1.0 goal scored and none conceded. Their consistency in first halves is also notable — they have not lost before halftime in 23 of their last 25 matches. Additionally, their matches tend to produce a fair number of corners, with over 7.5 corners taken in 20 of their last 21 games. These numbers underline a team that starts strong and maintains attacking pressure throughout the match.

• Ranking in Copa Libertadores: 1st


• Average goals scored: 1.0


• Average goals conceded: 1.0


• Over 7.5 corners in 20 of last 21 matches


• Unbeaten at halftime in 23 of last 25 matches

With the home advantage and a solid defensive record, Tolima will aim to control the tempo and avoid unnecessary risks, knowing that even a draw would be enough to progress.

Deportivo Táchira’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Deportivo Táchira come into this match after a thrilling 3-2 victory over Monagas on February 22. Before that, they had drawn 0-0 with Trujillanos and advanced past The Strongest in a penalty shootout. Their recent form shows 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats in their last five matches, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game.

In the Copa Libertadores, Táchira’s record stands at 1 win and 2 losses, with an average of 0.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. However, their away form in the competition is a major concern: they have lost their last eight away matches and conceded at least one goal in each of their last 14 away fixtures. Moreover, they have failed to keep a clean sheet in 25 of their last 27 games in the tournament. Despite these struggles, Táchira have shown resilience, avoiding defeat at halftime in their last 16 matches — a sign that they often remain competitive in the early stages of games.

• Ranking in Copa Libertadores: 2nd


• Average goals scored: 0.8


• Average goals conceded: 0.8


• Lost last 8 away matches in Copa Libertadores


• Conceded at least 1 goal in last 14 away matches


• Unbeaten at halftime in last 16 matches

To have any chance of advancing, Táchira must improve defensively and find efficiency in attack. Their ability to score away from home will be crucial, especially against a Tolima side that rarely concedes on their own turf.

Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Táchira Analysis and Prediction

This second leg promises to be a tense and balanced affair. Deportes Tolima have the advantage of a one-goal lead and the support of their fans, while Deportivo Táchira will be forced to take more risks in search of goals. The first leg’s narrow scoreline suggests that both teams are evenly matched, but Tolima’s home record and defensive consistency could make the difference.

Historically, Tolima have dominated this fixture, winning all three previous meetings with an average of 1.7 goals scored and only 0.3 conceded. However, Táchira’s recent attacking display against Monagas shows they are capable of finding the net, even if their defensive fragility remains a concern. Given both teams’ recent scoring patterns and the need for Táchira to attack, this match could see goals at both ends.

According to the latest probabilities, Tolima have a 48% chance of winning, the draw stands at 27%, and Táchira’s chances are at 26%. The data also indicates a close balance in goal-related markets, with Both Teams To Score – Yes at 48% and Under 2.5 goals slightly favored at 52%.

Considering Tolima’s home strength and Táchira’s need to push forward, the most likely scenario is a competitive match where both sides find the net, but the hosts ultimately maintain their aggregate advantage.

Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Táchira prediction by BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 48% probability.