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Deportes Tolima vs Independiente del Valle Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Copa Libertadores 12-08-2026

Deportes Tolima

12:30 AM

August 12, 2026

Independiente del Valle

Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
broken clouds °C

Prediction published on Aug 10, 2026 1:03 AM by Dario in South America - Copa Libertadores | Modified on Aug 10, 2026 1:03 AM

Deportes Tolima and Independiente del Valle meet in the Copa Libertadores round of 16 during the second week of August, with the fixture scheduled for August 12, 2026. Both teams arrive after winning 2026-08-08, but their recent records present different levels of consistency. Tolima defeated Internacional de Bogotá 2-1 and have collected three victories from their last five matches. Independiente del Valle recorded a 2-0 away win over LDU Quito and enter this continental contest on a run of ten consecutive victories. The Copa Libertadores ranking data places Deportes Tolima first and Independiente del Valle second, adding further interest to a meeting between two highly ranked sides.

Deportes Tolima Recent Form and Key Statistics

Deportes Tolima approach the match with confidence after beating Internacional de Bogotá 2-1 on August 8. They have won three and lost two of their last five games, without recording a draw during that period. Their recent matches have produced averages of 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, figures that point to regular attacking output but also show that opponents have found opportunities against them.
In the current Copa Libertadores campaign, Tolima have registered four wins, two draws and four defeats. Their continental scoring average stands at 1.0 goal per match, while they have conceded an average of 0.8. Those numbers are lower than their averages across the latest five fixtures, suggesting that their Libertadores matches have generally offered a different scoring pattern from their immediate overall form.
The home statistics provide Tolima with several encouraging signals. They have been ahead at half time in six of their last ten home matches, showing an ability to make productive starts in front of their own support. However, the later stages have been particularly active: at least one second-half goal was scored in 19 of their last 21 home fixtures. Only two of Tolima’s previous ten Copa Libertadores games ended with under 0.5 total goals, meaning eight of those matches contained at least one goal.
Tolima also hold the better record in the supplied head-to-head summary, with one win, one draw and no defeats against Independiente del Valle. Across those meetings, they averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. The most recent encounter finished 1-0 on May 5, 2022. While that history offers some encouragement, Tolima’s current challenge is to match an opponent arriving with a perfect record across its latest five games.

Independiente del Valle Recent Form and Key Statistics

Independiente del Valle travel into this Copa Libertadores fixture after an impressive 2-0 victory away to LDU Quito on August 8. That result continued an outstanding sequence: they have won their last ten matches and have not drawn in 22. Across the most recent five fixtures, Independiente del Valle have recorded five victories, averaging 2.0 goals scored and only 0.4 conceded per match.
Their Copa Libertadores season record is also strong, consisting of four wins, one draw and one defeat. They have averaged 1.8 goals per game in the competition while conceding 1.0. Compared with Tolima’s tournament averages, Independiente del Valle have produced the higher scoring rate, although the home side have allowed fewer goals per Copa Libertadores match.
Consistency in attack has been one of the visitors’ clearest strengths. Independiente del Valle have scored at least once in each of their last 14 matches. Their ability to remain competitive from the opening whistle is equally notable, as they have avoided a half-time deficit in 19 consecutive games. They were leading at the interval in eight of their last ten matches and have also been ahead at half time in each of their previous six away fixtures.
The second-half numbers reinforce the expectation that Independiente del Valle can maintain their threat throughout the contest. At least one goal was scored after half time in each of their last 13 matches, with the same outcome occurring in their previous 11 away games. Combined with ten straight victories and their recent defensive average of 0.4 goals conceded, these trends explain why the visitors enter the match carrying considerable momentum despite playing away from home.

Deportes Tolima vs Independiente del Valle Match Analysis

This Copa Libertadores round-of-16 match brings together Tolima’s home trends and Independiente del Valle’s exceptional winning sequence. The hosts have won three of their previous five fixtures and recently scored twice against Internacional de Bogotá, but two defeats in that five-match sample underline the inconsistency mentioned in their recent results. Their season record of four wins, two draws and four losses in the competition also shows a balanced spread of outcomes.
Independiente del Valle present the stronger immediate form, having won five out of five while scoring twice per match and conceding just 0.4 on average. Their streak of ten victories, combined with a run of 14 consecutive games with at least one goal scored, gives Tolima a demanding defensive task. The visitors’ record of avoiding defeat at half time in 19 straight matches could be especially relevant against a Tolima side that has led at the interval in six of its last ten home games.
The supplied win probabilities underline how closely matched the contest may be: Deportes Tolima are rated at 39%, the draw at 26%, and Independiente del Valle at 35%. Both Teams To Score is evenly divided between Yes and No at 50%, while the Over/Under 2.5-goal assessment is also split equally at 50%. With neither goals market producing a clear statistical preference, the strongest conclusions come from the teams’ form patterns rather than a single scoring direction.
A second-half goal is one of the most consistent themes surrounding both teams. Tolima have seen at least one after the break in 19 of their last 21 home matches, while Independiente del Valle have done so in 13 consecutive fixtures and 11 straight away games. The hosts’ unbeaten head-to-head record provides a counterweight to the visitors’ winning momentum, setting up a competitive first leg in which Tolima’s home performance will be tested by one of the most sustained runs in the supplied data.

Deportes Tolima vs Independiente del Valle - Predictions

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Deportes Tolima vs Independiente del Valle: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Deportes Tolima

Independiente del Valle

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

10%

1

90%

9

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

20%

2

80%

8

20%

2

80%

8

2.5

20%

2

80%

8

40%

4

60%

6

3.5

80%

8

20%

2

60%

6

40%

4

4.5

90%

9

10%

1

70%

7

30%

3

BetMines

Standings of Deportes Tolima and Independiente del Valle in Copa Libertadores

Group Stage - Group E - Ranking

Team

8th Finals
CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Group Stage - Group F - Ranking

Team

8th Finals
CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Group Stage - Group G - Ranking

Team

8th Finals
CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Group Stage - Group H - Ranking

Team

1

Independiente del Valle

6

4

1

1

11:6

13

2.17

W
W
L
W
W
8th Finals
CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Group Stage - Group A - Ranking

Team

8th Finals
CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Group Stage - Group B - Ranking

Team

2

Deportes Tolima

6

2

2

2

7:6

8

1.33

L
W
W
L
D
8th Finals
CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Group Stage - Group C - Ranking

Team

8th Finals
CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Group Stage - Group D - Ranking

Team

8th Finals
CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Who will win ?

Deportes Tolima vs Independiente del Valle: Frequently asked questions

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When will Deportes Tolima vs Independiente del Valle be played?
The Copa Libertadores match between Deportes Tolima and Independiente del Valle will be played on August 12, 2026 at 00:30.
Where will Deportes Tolima vs Independiente del Valle be played?
The match between Deportes Tolima and Independiente del Valle will be played at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Ibagué - South America
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Deportes Tolima vs Independiente del Valle in the Copa Libertadores?
The odds are: Deportes Tolima to win 2.87, draw 3.20, Independiente del Valle to win 2.55.
What are the betting odds for Deportes Tolima vs Independiente del Valle for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Copa Libertadores?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 2.25 and Under 2.5 at 1.61.
Will both Deportes Tolima and Independiente del Valle score in the Copa Libertadores?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.95, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 1.80.
What is the most likely correct score for Deportes Tolima vs Independiente del Valle in the Copa Libertadores?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 6.
What are the head-to-head results between Deportes Tolima and Independiente del Valle?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches between Deportes Tolima and Independiente del Valle, Deportes Tolima won 1 times, Independiente del Valle won 0, and 1 ended in a draw.

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