The upcoming clash between Deportes Tolima and Once Caldas promises to be one of the most balanced fixtures of the seventh round in the Liga BetPlay Apertura. Both sides are currently positioned in the upper part of the table, with Tolima sitting fifth and Once Caldas just one place above in fourth. The match will be played with high stakes, as both teams aim to consolidate their presence among the league’s frontrunners. The hosts will look to make the most of their home advantage, while the visitors arrive with an unbeaten record that reflects their consistency and defensive discipline.

Deportes Tolima’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Deportes Tolima approach this encounter after a goalless draw against Atlético Bucaramanga on February 11, a result that extended their run to four consecutive matches without a win. Despite that, the team has shown resilience, losing only once in their last five outings (1 win, 3 draws, 1 defeat). Their average of 0.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game underlines a cautious but solid approach. In the current Liga BetPlay campaign, Tolima have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, averaging 1.0 goal scored and just 0.5 conceded per match.

Playing at home has been a key factor for Tolima’s stability. They have avoided defeat at half time in 18 of their last 20 home matches and have won five of their last eight league games in front of their fans. Their defensive structure often keeps matches tight, with under 0.5 goals scored in four of their last thirteen league fixtures. Moreover, at least one team has failed to score in the second half in 31 of their last 33 matches, showing how frequently their games remain controlled and low-scoring.

• Unbeaten at half time in 20 of their last 22 Liga BetPlay matches.


• Over 7.5 corners in each of their last 18 league games.


• Head-to-head advantage: unbeaten in the last seven meetings with Once Caldas (3 wins, 4 draws).

Once Caldas’ Recent Form and Key Stats

Once Caldas arrive in Ibagué full of confidence after a 2-1 victory over Junior FC on February 12. That result extended their unbeaten start to the season, with a record of 2 wins and 4 draws. Their last five matches show a consistent pattern: 1 win, 4 draws, and no defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. The team’s defensive reliability has been a defining trait, as they have not lost at half time in 22 of their last 24 league matches.

When playing away, Once Caldas tend to keep things tight. Under 3.5 total goals have been recorded in each of their last 13 away matches in Liga BetPlay, and in fact, the same trend applies to their last 12 games overall. Their ability to maintain balance and avoid open contests makes them a difficult opponent to break down. However, their tendency to draw—four times already this season—suggests that while they are hard to beat, they sometimes lack the cutting edge to secure all three points.

• Under 3.5 goals in the last 13 away league matches.


• Unbeaten in all six Liga BetPlay games this season.


• Haven’t lost at half time in 22 of their last 24 league fixtures.

Deportes Tolima vs Once Caldas Analysis and Prediction

Historically, Deportes Tolima have had the upper hand in this fixture, remaining unbeaten in their last seven meetings with Once Caldas and winning three of them. The most recent encounter ended 0-1 in favor of Tolima in August 2025. Both teams are known for their disciplined defensive setups, and the statistics point toward another low-scoring affair. Tolima’s home strength and Once Caldas’ unbeaten streak set the stage for a tactical battle where small details could decide the outcome.

Given the data, a tight match is expected. Tolima’s solid defense and Once Caldas’ cautious approach suggest that goals will be at a premium. The hosts will likely try to impose their rhythm early, while the visitors will rely on their compact structure to frustrate their opponents and look for opportunities on the counterattack. With both sides prioritizing organization over risk, the probability of a low-scoring draw or a narrow home win appears high.

BetMines prediction for Deportes Tolima vs Once Caldas:
Under 2.5 goals with a 55% probability.