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Prediction published on Aug 28, 2026 5:33 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Aug 28, 2026 5:33 PM
Deportivo A Coruña welcome Valencia to Estadio Abanca-Riazor on August 30, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 17:30 local time. Both teams are still searching for their first victory of the new La Liga season, although their opening results have followed different patterns. Deportivo have collected two points from consecutive 1-1 draws, while Valencia have taken one point and are yet to score. The hosts begin the fixture ranked 11th, with Valencia in 15th place. Deportivo returned to the top division after eight consecutive seasons across the second and third tiers, earning promotion as runners-up. Their early performances suggest that they can compete, but turning promising positions into wins remains the next challenge. Valencia, meanwhile, arrive under greater pressure after following a goalless draw against Celta with a 1-0 defeat to Real Betis. With little separating the sides in the available win probabilities, this Deportivo A Coruña vs Valencia preview points toward a closely balanced contest.
Deportivo A Coruña have opened their league campaign with two draws, scoring once and conceding once in each game. They led Elche at half-time before conceding an equaliser in the 76th minute, while their trip to Málaga followed a similar pattern: Deportivo moved in front during the first half but eventually drew 1-1. The result against Málaga on August 24 extended their unbeaten start, although it also underlined their difficulty in protecting an advantage.
Their broader five-match record stands at one win, three draws and one defeat, with averages of 0.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. In La Liga alone, Deportivo have recorded no wins, two draws and no losses, averaging one goal both for and against. Another notable statistic is their scoring consistency: at least one goal has been scored by Deportivo in each of their last 15 matches.
Pierre Aubameyang has supplied both of the club's league goals so far, finding the net against Elche and Málaga. The experienced forward joined after registering 14 goals and 10 assists with Marseille in the previous season, and Deportivo have already relied heavily on his movement, pace and finishing. The club have also announced the signing of Adama Traoré, while Angeliño could make his debut this weekend.
Deportivo's pre-season included a victory over Genoa and draws with St. Pauli and Fiorentina. Those results were followed by two competitive draws, reinforcing the impression of a side capable of staying in games. However, taking the lead without securing all three points in either league fixture leaves the promoted team with room for improvement.
Valencia travel to La Coruña after a difficult start in front of goal. Their opening match against Celta ended 0-0, with neither side able to make the breakthrough. They then hosted Real Betis on August 25 and suffered a 1-0 defeat after conceding late. Their record after two rounds is therefore one draw, one defeat, zero goals scored and one conceded.
Across their last five matches, Valencia have posted one win, two draws and two defeats. They have averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded during that sequence, while their current La Liga averages are 0.0 scored and 0.5 conceded per game. Those figures reflect a team that has limited the damage defensively but has not yet found an attacking solution in league competition.
Carlos Corberán has used a conservative 5-4-1 setup, and Valencia's first two matches have consequently developed into tight, low-scoring contests. The visitors have four regular starters listed as injury doubts for this fixture: Guido Rodríguez, Pablo Maffeo, Luis Rioja and Mouctar Diakhaby. The article information also notes that the club did not add major reinforcements for this campaign.
The available 1X2 probabilities show how narrow the margins are: Deportivo have a 37% chance of winning, the draw is rated at 27%, and Valencia are given 36%. Despite their slow start, the visitors have a positive recent head-to-head record in this fixture. Across the supplied five-match summary, Deportivo recorded no wins, two draws and three defeats against Valencia, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. The most recent meeting ended 2-1 on May 20, 2018.
The early-season evidence presents two contrasting attacking stories. Deportivo A Coruña have scored in both matches and have found the net in 15 consecutive games overall, but they have not converted either of their league leads into a victory. Valencia have conceded only once across two rounds, yet their failure to score means even a solid defensive performance may not be enough unless their attack improves.
Containing Aubameyang should be central to Valencia's approach because he has scored every league goal registered by Deportivo this season. The hosts have shown that they can make fast enough starts to lead before the interval, doing so against both Elche and Málaga. Their challenge will be to maintain that level after the break rather than allowing another opponent back into the contest.
Valencia are likely to face a different requirement from their opening home fixtures. After taking only one point from two matches, they need to offer more going forward while preserving the defensive control that has kept both league games close. Deportivo's average of one goal scored and one conceded suggests another competitive encounter, while Valencia's current scoring numbers create uncertainty over whether the visitors can fully contribute to an open game.
The head-to-head data favour Valencia, but the current win probabilities are almost evenly divided between the two teams. Deportivo's consecutive first-half advantages provide one of the clearest recurring trends available for this fixture. With the promoted side beginning both league games positively and Valencia now needing a response after defeat, an opening-period goal is a coherent angle for this La Liga meeting.
Deportivo A Coruña vs Valencia prediction from BetMines: Over 0.5 goals at Half-Time with 67% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Deportivo A Coruña
Valencia
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
4
6
2
8
2.5
7
3
3
7
3.5
8
2
7
3
4.5
10
0
9
1