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Deportivo Alavés
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Atlético de Madrid
Prediction published on Oct 8, 2026 3:09 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Oct 8, 2026 3:09 PM
Deportivo Alavés host Atlético de Madrid at the Estadio de Mendizorroza on October 10, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 14:15 local time. The La Liga fixture follows the international break and brings together the teams in sixth and second place. Alavés made an impressive start to the season but have taken just one point from their last three matches. Atlético arrive in contrasting form, having won three consecutive games, most recently a 2-1 victory over Real Madrid. The visitors’ momentum makes this an important test of the hosts’ ability to respond after a difficult stretch.
Deportivo Alavés opened their league campaign with four matches without defeat. They beat Getafe 3-0, drew 1-1 away to Rayo Vallecano, then recorded wins over Villarreal and Osasuna. The 5-2 result against Osasuna was their last victory before a downturn that brought defeats to Racing and Valencia. A 0-0 draw with Athletic Club on September 19 ended the losing run, although Athletic created several chances in that match.
The home side have a La Liga record of three wins, two draws and two defeats, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game. Across their last five matches, they have won twice, drawn once and lost twice, scoring an average of 1.4 goals and conceding 1.0. Their defending has not always looked as secure as it did earlier in the campaign: the source article records five goals conceded across the four matches preceding the international break, despite the clean sheet against Athletic.
There are reasons for Alavés to draw confidence from their home performances. They have avoided a half-time deficit in 19 of their last 21 home matches and have led at the interval in six of their last ten La Liga home games. Individually, Antonio Sivera has kept three clean sheets and is credited with a 79.3% save percentage. Ángel Pérez has supplied three assists, while Mariano Díaz has three goals and three assists. Lucas Boyé leads the side’s scoring figures mentioned in the source article with four goals.
Alavés have absences to manage: Koski is injured, and Facundo Garcés and Mikel Rodríguez are also unavailable. That leaves coach Quique Sánchez Flores preparing for a side that has scored 16 league goals in seven matches.
Atlético de Madrid began the campaign unevenly. A 2-0 win over Málaga was followed by a 2-2 draw with Villarreal, in which Atlético recovered a point despite having a player sent off. They then beat Sevilla 3-1 away from home, before defeats against Athletic Club and Liverpool interrupted their progress. Their response has been emphatic: a 3-0 win over Real Sociedad, a 4-0 victory against Osasuna and the 2-1 derby success over Real Madrid have taken them into this fixture on a three-match winning streak.
The visitors’ La Liga record stands at five wins, one draw and one defeat. They average 2.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per league match, while their last five fixtures have produced three wins and two defeats, with averages of 2.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Atlético have not drawn any of their last 15 away matches, a run that adds another point of interest to this trip.
Atlético’s goals have come from several sources, with eight different scorers mentioned in the source article. Álex Baena has four La Liga goals and one assist, while Jonathan David has contributed three goals and one assist across three league rounds. Grimaldo has two goals and an assist. That range of contributors has accompanied the upturn in results for Diego Simeone’s team and gives Alavés more than one attacking threat to consider.
This La Liga preview centres on two different trajectories. Alavés remain sixth after a strong opening, but defeats in two of their last three matches have checked their progress. Atlético sit second and have followed a mixed start with three straight victories. The contrast is particularly clear in their latest results: Alavés drew 0-0 with Athletic Club, while Atlético beat Real Madrid 2-1.
The recent head-to-head figures offer a more balanced perspective than league position alone. From Deportivo Alavés’ viewpoint, the supplied summary records one win, two draws and two defeats, with both teams averaging 0.8 goals per meeting. The most recent meeting finished 1-0 on January 18, 2026. Those figures suggest this fixture has not consistently mirrored the scoring rates Atlético are producing in the current league season.
Alavés’ record of avoiding half-time deficits at home could help them keep the contest close, and Sivera’s figures underline the part he may play. Even so, Atlético bring stronger recent results and a higher league scoring average. For the visitors, the task is to carry their run of three wins into a match against hosts looking to recapture their early-season form.
The probable Alavés lineup listed in the source article is: Sivera, Tenaglia, Valentini, Jonny, Ángel Pérez, Rebbach, Antonio Blanco, Ibáñez, Denis Suárez, Toni Martínez and Boyé.
Deportivo Alavés vs Atlético de Madrid prediction from BetMines: Atlético de Madrid win (2) with 45% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Deportivo Alavés
Atlético de Madrid
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
5
5
4
6
3.5
9
1
9
1
4.5
9
1
10
0