The upcoming La Liga clash between Deportivo Alavés and FC Barcelona brings together two sides living very different realities. The home team is fighting to avoid relegation, while the visitors have already secured the league title after their victory in the recent clásico. Despite the difference in objectives, both teams still have something to play for: Alavés are desperate for points to stay in the top flight, and Barcelona are chasing the symbolic milestone of 100 points in the season.

Deportivo Alavés: Struggling to Stay Afloat

Deportivo Alavés enter this match in a delicate position, sitting 18th in the table and two points away from safety. Their recent form has been inconsistent, with only one win in their last five matches, alongside two draws and two defeats. The Basque side drew 1-1 against Elche in their most recent outing, a result that extended their streak of 20 consecutive league games conceding at least one goal. Defensive fragility has been their main issue, as they have allowed an average of 1.5 goals per match this season while scoring just 1.2.

At home, Alavés have shown some resilience, avoiding defeat at half time in 18 of their last 20 matches. However, their inability to keep clean sheets continues to undermine their efforts. Matches involving Alavés tend to be open affairs, with over 1.5 total goals scored in each of their last 16 league fixtures and goals in the second half in all of their last 20. The team’s attacking output has improved slightly, averaging 1.8 goals scored in their last five games, but their defense remains a major concern.

• Ranking: 18th in La Liga


• Last 5 matches: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats


• Average goals scored: 1.8 | Conceded: 2.2


• Over 1.5 goals in last 16 matches


• At least 1 goal conceded in last 20 league games

With key players like Lucas Boyé still sidelined and Toni Martínez doubtful, Alavés will need to rely on collective effort and home support to challenge the champions. Their main goal will be to stay compact and exploit any complacency from a Barcelona side that might rotate its lineup.

FC Barcelona: Champions Chasing Records

FC Barcelona arrive in Vitoria full of confidence after sealing the league title with a 2-0 win over Real Madrid. The team’s record this season is remarkable: 30 wins, 1 draw, and only 4 defeats, with an average of 2.6 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match. Under Flick’s management, the Catalan side has shown consistency and adaptability, maintaining high standards even when rotating players due to injuries or suspensions.

Barcelona’s current run is outstanding — 11 consecutive league victories and 24 matches in a row finding the net. They have not drawn in their last 24 La Liga games and have been particularly strong away from home, with over 1.5 goals scored in 19 of their last 20 away fixtures. Their attacking power, led by Lewandowski, remains a constant threat, while the defense has kept things tight, conceding only 0.4 goals on average in their last five matches.

• Ranking: 1st in La Liga


• Last 5 matches: 5 wins, 0 draws, 0 defeats


• Average goals scored: 1.8 | Conceded: 0.4


• Over 1.5 goals in 37 of last 40 matches


• 11 consecutive wins in La Liga

Even with absences such as Lamine Yamal and Raphinha, Barcelona’s depth allows them to remain competitive. Players like De Jong, Casadó, and Bernal are expected to control the midfield, while Lewandowski leads the attack. The team’s motivation to reach 100 points ensures they will approach this match with full intensity, despite having already secured the title.

Alavés vs Barcelona: Tactical Overview and Prediction

This encounter is likely to follow a familiar pattern: Alavés will aim to stay compact and counterattack, while Barcelona will dominate possession and look to break down their opponents through quick combinations and movement. Given the defensive struggles of the home side and the attacking consistency of the visitors, goals seem almost guaranteed. Alavés have conceded in every league match since early winter, while Barcelona have scored in nearly all of their recent fixtures.

The head-to-head record also favors the champions: Barcelona have won the last five meetings, averaging 2.4 goals per game against Alavés. The hosts will need a near-perfect performance to avoid defeat, but their defensive record suggests that keeping Barcelona quiet will be a monumental task. Expect the visitors to control the tempo and create multiple scoring opportunities, especially in the second half, where both teams tend to see goals.

BetMines prediction: FC Barcelona win (2) with a probability of 66%. The champions are in unstoppable form, and their attacking efficiency should be enough to secure another victory, even away from home. Over 2.5 goals (57%) also looks like a plausible scenario given both teams’ recent scoring trends.