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Prediction published on Feb 7, 2026 4:02 AM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Feb 7, 2026 4:02 AM
The upcoming clash between Deportivo Alavés and Getafe CF promises to be a tense and competitive encounter in La Liga EA Sports. Both sides are in need of points as they look to move away from the lower half of the table. The match, part of the 23rd round, will take place at the Mendizorroza Stadium, where the home side will hope to make the most of their local support to secure a crucial victory. Historically, the balance slightly favors the visitors, but recent form and home advantage could tilt the scales in favor of the Basque team.
Deportivo Alavés approach this fixture sitting 10th in the La Liga standings with 25 points, having recorded 7 wins, 4 draws, and 11 defeats so far. Their recent form has been mixed but encouraging, with 3 victories in their last 5 matches. Despite a narrow 2-3 loss to Real Sociedad on February 4, the team has shown resilience and attacking improvement, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game in that period.
Throughout the season, Alavés have maintained a balanced approach, scoring an average of 0.9 goals per match while conceding 1.2. One notable trend is their ability to find the net in the latter stages of games — there have been over 0.5 goals in the second half of each of their last 10 league fixtures. This suggests that the team often grows stronger as the match progresses, a valuable trait when playing at home.
In their previous meeting with Getafe earlier this season, the match ended 1-1, showing how evenly matched these sides can be. However, with the home crowd behind them and a recent away win against Espanyol still fresh in memory, Alavés will be confident of turning their momentum into another positive result.
Getafe CF arrive in Vitoria in a difficult moment, currently 16th in the table with 23 points after 6 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses. Their last outing was a goalless draw against Celta de Vigo on February 1, a result that extended their winless streak to eight league matches. During their last five games, the Azulones have failed to win, recording 3 draws and 2 defeats, with an average of just 0.6 goals scored per match and 1.0 conceded.
Offensively, Getafe have struggled to create clear chances, and their lack of goals has been a major concern. They have not led at half time in any of their last 18 league matches, and this pattern extends to 15 consecutive away games. Moreover, under 1.5 goals at half time have been recorded in each of their last 14 La Liga fixtures, highlighting their cautious approach in the early stages of matches.
Defensively, Getafe remain organized, with under 3.5 total goals in 28 of their last 29 league games. However, their inability to turn draws into wins has cost them valuable points. The team has also lost at half time in 9 of their last 15 away matches, a trend they will need to reverse if they hope to take something from Mendizorroza.
The recent head-to-head record between these two sides slightly favors Getafe, who have won 3 of the last 5 meetings, with 1 draw and 1 victory for Deportivo Alavés. On average, these encounters have been tight and low-scoring, with Alavés averaging 0.4 goals per game and conceding 1.0. The most recent clash, a 1-1 draw in September 2025, reflected the balance and defensive discipline that often characterize their duels.
From a tactical perspective, both teams tend to rely on compact defensive structures and quick transitions. Alavés will likely look to exploit their second-half strength and home advantage, while Getafe may focus on maintaining solidity and seeking opportunities on the counterattack. Given the current form, the hosts appear slightly better positioned to claim the three points, but a close contest with few goals is expected.
According to the latest data, the win probabilities stand at Deportivo Alavés 42%, Draw 29%, and Getafe 30%. Both teams have shown defensive consistency but limited attacking output, suggesting a balanced and tactical battle. The historical trend of low-scoring matches and Getafe’s ongoing struggles in front of goal reinforce the likelihood of a tight scoreline.
Deportivo Alavés vs Getafe prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 42% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Deportivo Alavés
Getafe
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
2
8
5
5
2.5
4
6
8
2
3.5
6
4
9
1
4.5
7
3
10
0