The upcoming clash between Deportivo Alavés and Mallorca promises to be a tense and decisive battle in the fight for La Liga survival. Both teams are separated by just two points in the standings, with Alavés sitting 18th on 33 points and Mallorca slightly safer in 15th place with 35. The match at Mendizorroza could play a crucial role in determining which side manages to stay above the relegation line as the season nears its conclusion.

Deportivo Alavés: Searching for Stability

Deportivo Alavés have struggled to find consistency in recent weeks, winning only one of their last ten league matches. Their recent 2-1 defeat against Real Madrid highlighted both their attacking potential and defensive fragility. Over the last five fixtures, the team has recorded one win, three draws, and one loss, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game. Despite their difficulties, Alavés have shown resilience, often managing to stay level at halftime — they have avoided losing at the break in 19 of their last 20 home matches.

Statistically, Alavés’ season has been marked by defensive instability. They have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 17 La Liga matches, and every one of their last 13 games has featured over 1.5 total goals. Their home form has also followed a similar pattern, with goals regularly appearing in the second half — over 0.5 goals have been scored after the break in each of their last ten home fixtures. These trends suggest that while Alavés can create chances, maintaining defensive discipline remains their biggest challenge.

• Season record: 8 wins, 9 draws, 15 defeats.


• Average goals scored: 1.1 per match.


• Average goals conceded: 1.5 per match.


• Over 1.5 goals in each of their last 12 La Liga matches.


• At least one goal conceded in 14 consecutive games across all competitions.

With the pressure mounting and the home crowd expecting a reaction, Alavés will need to capitalize on their attacking momentum while tightening up defensively. Their ability to stay competitive until halftime could be a key factor in keeping their hopes alive.

Mallorca: Momentum and Confidence

Mallorca arrive in Vitoria with renewed confidence after a strong run of form that has lifted them out of the relegation zone. The Balearic side have collected three wins, one draw, and one defeat in their last five matches, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per game while conceding just 1.0. Their latest outing, a 1-1 draw against Valencia, demonstrated both their attacking intent and defensive organization.

Much of Mallorca’s recent success has come from their performances at home, where they have built momentum with three wins and a draw in their last four matches at Son Moix. However, their challenge now is to replicate that level of performance away from home. The team’s improved competitiveness and morale suggest they will not travel to Mendizorroza merely to defend — they will aim to secure at least a point and possibly more.

• Season record: 9 wins, 8 draws, 15 defeats.


• Average goals scored: 1.3 per match.


• Average goals conceded: 1.5 per match.


• Last five matches: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss.


• Recent result: 1-1 draw vs Valencia (April 21, 2026).

With their attacking players finding rhythm and the defense showing greater cohesion, Mallorca appear well-equipped to challenge an Alavés side that has struggled to keep clean sheets. Their recent victories against strong opponents have boosted confidence, and they will look to extend that positive streak on the road.

Alavés vs Mallorca: Tactical Overview and Key Factors

This fixture brings together two teams with contrasting dynamics. Alavés rely heavily on their home advantage and attacking bursts, while Mallorca have built their recent success on compact defending and efficient counterattacks. The head-to-head record between the sides is balanced, with one win each and three draws in their last five meetings, averaging just 0.6 goals scored and conceded per team per match. Their most recent encounter ended 1-0, underlining how tight and low-scoring these matches tend to be.

Given the current form and statistical trends, goals are likely but not abundant. Alavés’ tendency to concede in every match and Mallorca’s improved scoring rate point toward a competitive game where both sides could find the net. However, the visitors’ defensive discipline and confidence might give them a slight edge in securing a result.

For Alavés, the key will be to maintain focus in the second half, where they often lose control. For Mallorca, the challenge lies in translating their home form into away success. A draw would not be a disastrous outcome for either side, but Mallorca’s recent momentum could make them the more confident team heading into this encounter.

BetMines Prediction

Alavés vs Mallorca prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 59% probability.