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Prediction published on Apr 4, 2026 11:02 AM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Apr 4, 2026 11:02 AM
The upcoming clash between Deportivo Alavés and CA Osasuna promises to be a crucial encounter in LaLiga EA Sports, as both sides enter the final stretch of the season with very different objectives. The home team, supported by their fans, will be desperate to secure three points to move further away from the relegation zone, while the visitors aim to keep their European qualification hopes alive. After the international break, both teams return to action knowing that every point could define their campaign’s outcome.
Deportivo Alavés approach this fixture after an impressive 3-4 away victory against Celta de Vigo on March 22, a result that boosted their confidence ahead of this home match. Despite that win, their recent form remains inconsistent, with only one victory in their last five matches (1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats). The team has averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded in that period, showing both attacking potential and defensive fragility.
Throughout the season, Alavés have recorded 8 wins, 7 draws, and 14 losses, scoring an average of 1.0 goal per game while conceding 1.4. Their home performances have been more stable, as they have avoided defeat at half-time in 20 of their last 21 home matches. However, defensive issues persist — they have conceded at least one goal in their last 14 LaLiga matches.
Matches involving Alavés tend to be lively, with over 1.5 goals scored in their last 10 games and over 0.5 goals in the second half in each of their last 17. These trends suggest that the team often finds or concedes goals after the break, making the second half a decisive period in their matches.
At home, the support from the Mendizorroza crowd could be vital. The team will rely on its attacking players to make the difference, especially given the importance of this fixture in their fight for survival.
CA Osasuna arrive in Vitoria after a narrow 1-0 win against Girona on March 21, a result that kept them in the top half of the table. With 10 wins, 7 draws, and 12 defeats this season, they currently sit 10th in LaLiga, maintaining a balanced record of 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Their recent form shows two victories, one draw, and two defeats in the last five matches, reflecting a team that can compete but still lacks consistency away from home.
Osasuna’s away matches have often been tight affairs, with under 0.5 goals scored in 2 of their last 10 away games. Despite this, they remain a difficult opponent to break down, capable of grinding out results through disciplined defending and efficient counterattacks. Their recent victory over Girona demonstrated their ability to manage narrow leads and protect their advantage.
Historically, Osasuna have dominated this fixture. In the last five head-to-head meetings, they have recorded 3 wins and 2 draws, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per game while conceding only 0.6. The first meeting this season ended in a 3-0 win for Osasuna, underlining their superiority in recent encounters.
With European ambitions still alive, Osasuna will look to extend their unbeaten streak against Alavés and capitalize on their opponent’s defensive vulnerabilities. Their solid record in this fixture gives them confidence heading into this crucial match.
This encounter brings together two teams with contrasting motivations but equally strong reasons to win. Deportivo Alavés will rely on their home advantage and the energy of their supporters to push forward, while Osasuna will aim to control the tempo and exploit spaces on the counterattack. Given Alavés’ tendency to concede and Osasuna’s efficiency in front of goal, the match could see goals at both ends.
However, the historical dominance of Osasuna and their slightly better form suggest they might have the upper hand. Alavés’ defensive record remains a concern, and unless they tighten up at the back, they could struggle to contain the visitors’ attacking movements. Still, the home side’s resilience and fighting spirit make this a balanced contest that could be decided by small details.
In terms of betting trends, both teams have shown a tendency for matches with goals, with Over 2.5 goals occurring in 51% of their recent fixtures and Both Teams To Score (Yes) appearing in 51% of cases. The win probabilities indicate a tight contest: Deportivo Alavés 40%, Draw 28%, and Osasuna 32%.
Deportivo Alavés vs Osasuna prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 40% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Deportivo Alavés
Osasuna
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
4
6
3
7
3.5
6
4
7
3
4.5
7
3
9
1