Tools
Deportivo Alavés
5 - 2
FT
Osasuna
Prediction published on Sep 4, 2026 4:38 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Sep 4, 2026 4:38 PM
Deportivo Alavés welcome Osasuna to the Estadio de Mendizorroza on Sunday, September 6, with kick-off scheduled for 16:30 local time. Both teams have made an unbeaten start to the La Liga season, collecting two wins and one draw from their opening three matches. Alavés sit fourth, one place above fifth-placed Osasuna, while each side enters this fixture after recording a 1-0 victory. The hosts defeated Villarreal through a first-half goal from Lucas Boyé, whereas Budimir converted a penalty shortly before the interval to give Osasuna all three points against Getafe. With only one league goal conceded by either club so far, this meeting brings together two teams combining positive results with impressive defensive numbers.
Deportivo Alavés have started their La Liga campaign with two victories and one draw, averaging 1.7 goals scored and only 0.3 conceded per match. Their latest success came away to Villarreal on August 28, when Boyé scored after half an hour to secure a 1-0 result. That performance extended the hosts' unbeaten sequence across their last five matches, a run featuring two wins and three draws.
Across those five games, Alavés have averaged 1.4 goals for and 0.6 against. Their consistency in attack stretches much further, as they have scored at least once in each of their last 15 La Liga matches. The home record is another important part of the preview: Alavés have won both matches played at Mendizorroza this season, while their overall league total stands at five goals scored and one conceded.
Alavés have also avoided being behind at half-time in 19 of their last 21 home fixtures. However, they will be without Toni Martínez and Facundo Garcés. Martínez suffered an injury against Villarreal and is expected to remain unavailable for between two and three weeks. The club showed interest in Granada defender Manu Lama before the transfer window closed, but the move was not completed.
Osasuna arrive with the same league record as their hosts: two victories, one draw and no defeats. They have averaged one goal scored and 0.3 conceded per La Liga match, highlighting the controlled nature of their opening results. Their most recent appearance produced a 1-0 win over Getafe on August 31, with Budimir scoring from the penalty spot just before half-time.
Across their last five matches in all competitions, Osasuna have recorded two wins, one draw and two defeats, scoring an average of 0.8 goals and conceding one per game. Their only away league match mentioned in the available information ended in a 2-1 victory. The early performances under Ramis have presented a more competitive Osasuna, while the arrival of Dubasin has provided another attacking option alongside Budimir.
The visitors nevertheless have two fitness doubts ahead of the trip. Jorge Herrando and Aimar Oroz are both awaiting further evaluation according to the club's medical update. Their availability could therefore remain uncertain until closer to kick-off.
Deportivo Alavés: Sivera; Ángel Pérez, Tenaglia, Koski, Jonny; Rebbach, Ibáñez, Blanco, Mikel Rodríguez; Aitor Mañas or Mariano, Lucas Boyé.
Osasuna: Herrera; Arguibide, Boyomo, Catena, Bretones; Iker Muñoz, Moncayola, Rubén García; Dubasin or Del Castillo, Budimir, Moi Gómez.
The recent head-to-head record points towards a closely balanced contest. Across the five-match summary provided, Alavés have one win, Osasuna have one win and three meetings have ended level. Alavés averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded in those encounters. Last season, Osasuna won the first meeting 3-0 before the return fixture at Mendizorroza finished 2-2 on April 5, 2026. The last two meetings between these teams at this venue both ended in draws and produced goals for each side.
Despite those previous meetings featuring chances at both ends, the current league numbers suggest a more measured game. Both teams have conceded an average of just 0.3 goals per match this season, and both approach the fixture after separate 1-0 wins. Alavés have the stronger recent five-game record, remaining unbeaten and averaging 1.4 goals, while Osasuna have averaged only 0.8 goals over the equivalent period.
The first half could be particularly cautious. Alavés have seen under 1.5 first-half goals in 10 consecutive La Liga games and have rarely trailed at the interval in recent home matches. Their second-half trend is more active, with a goal after the break occurring in 26 of their last 29 fixtures. That combination suggests the match may develop gradually rather than opening with immediate attacking exchanges.
The available probabilities underline how little separates the teams. Alavés have a 41% win probability, compared with 28% for the draw and 30% for an Osasuna victory. Both Teams To Score is almost evenly divided at 51% for Yes and 49% for No. However, the under 2.5-goal outcome carries a 55% probability, matching the strong defensive starts, the two latest 1-0 victories and the modest scoring average recorded by the visitors.
Deportivo Alavés vs Osasuna prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 55% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Deportivo Alavés
Osasuna
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
6
4
5
5
3.5
9
1
9
1
4.5
9
1
9
1