The upcoming clash between Deportivo Alavés and Real Madrid promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of La Liga’s 16th round. The match will take place at Mendizorroza, where the home side will look to build on their recent success, while the visitors aim to bounce back from a difficult run of results. Historically, this fixture has been dominated by the Madrid giants, but current circumstances suggest that the encounter could be more competitive than expected.

Deportivo Alavés: Recent Form and Key Stats

Deportivo Alavés approach this match with renewed confidence after a narrow 1-0 victory against Real Sociedad on December 6, a result that lifted them to 11th place in the La Liga standings with 18 points. Their season record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Despite their mid-table position, the team has shown resilience, particularly at home, where they often make life difficult for visiting sides.

Recent performances have been mixed, with 2 wins and 3 defeats in their last five outings, but the defensive structure remains solid. A notable trend is their low-scoring home matches: Under 3.5 goals have been recorded in 19 of their last 20 home league games. This pattern suggests that Alavés tend to keep things tight at Mendizorroza, relying on discipline and compactness rather than attacking flair.

• Last 5 matches: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 defeats


• Average goals scored: 1.0 | Average conceded: 1.0


• Under 3.5 goals in 19 of their last 20 home games


• Last head-to-head vs Real Madrid: 0-1 (April 13, 2025)

Although the historical record against Real Madrid is unfavorable — with five consecutive losses and an average of 0.4 goals scored per game — the home crowd will expect a spirited performance. A disciplined defensive display could be key to frustrating their illustrious opponents.

Real Madrid: Recent Form and Key Stats

Real Madrid arrive in Vitoria seeking redemption after a 0-2 league defeat to Celta Vigo and a 1-2 loss to Manchester City in Europe. Despite these setbacks, they remain second in La Liga with 36 points, boasting 11 wins, 3 draws, and only 2 defeats. The team averages 2.0 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, underlining their attacking power and defensive reliability throughout the season.

However, recent form has been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats in their last five matches. Injuries and suspensions have disrupted their rhythm, forcing the coach to rotate heavily. Even so, Real Madrid have shown remarkable resilience, having avoided defeat at half time in 20 of their last 22 matches. This statistic highlights their ability to remain composed and competitive even when not at their best.

• Last 5 matches: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats


• Average goals scored: 1.8 | Average conceded: 1.6


• Season record: W 11 · D 3 · L 2


• Haven’t lost at half time in 20 of their last 22 games

Historically, Real Madrid have dominated this fixture, winning all of the last five meetings and scoring an average of 2.6 goals per game against Alavés. Even with several key players sidelined, the visitors’ depth and attacking quality make them strong favorites to secure another positive result.

Deportivo Alavés vs Real Madrid: Analysis and Prediction

This encounter brings together two teams with contrasting ambitions. Deportivo Alavés will aim to maintain their solid home record and exploit any defensive gaps left by a depleted Real Madrid squad. Their pragmatic approach and compact defensive lines could limit the visitors’ scoring opportunities, especially in the early stages of the game.

Real Madrid, on the other hand, will look to reassert their dominance after recent disappointments. Their attacking duo, supported by creative midfielders, remains capable of breaking down even the most organized defenses. The visitors’ superior quality and historical edge suggest that they will control possession and create the majority of chances, though they may need patience to find the breakthrough.

Given the statistical trends — particularly the prevalence of low-scoring matches at Mendizorroza and Real Madrid’s strong record in this fixture — a tight contest is expected. However, the visitors’ attacking efficiency and experience in high-pressure situations could ultimately make the difference.

Deportivo Alavés vs Real Madrid prediction by BetMines:
Real Madrid win (2) with a 61% probability.