The Copa del Rey quarter-finals bring an exciting Basque derby between Deportivo Alavés and Real Sociedad, a single-leg tie that will be played at Mendizorroza. Both sides arrive in excellent form, promising a tense and competitive encounter. Alavés have found consistency in recent weeks, while Real Sociedad continue their impressive unbeaten run, showing steady improvement in both performance and results. With a place in the semi-finals at stake, this clash is set to be one of the highlights of the round.

Deportivo Alavés: Form and Key Stats

Deportivo Alavés come into this match full of confidence after two consecutive league victories and a solid run in the Copa del Rey. In the previous round, they eliminated Rayo Vallecano with a convincing 2-0 win and recently surprised Espanyol away from home with a 1-2 result. Their current form shows a team that has grown in stability and efficiency, particularly when playing in Vitoria.

According to the latest data, Alavés have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 defeats in their last five matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. In this Copa del Rey campaign, they remain perfect with 4 wins in 4 matches, scoring an average of 3.3 goals per game and conceding none. Their defensive solidity has been remarkable, and their home ground has become a difficult place for opponents — Under 3.5 goals have been scored in 20 of their last 21 home matches.

Historically, Alavés have performed well against Real Sociedad in recent meetings, with a record of 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat in their last five head-to-heads, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. Their last meeting ended in a narrow 1-0 victory for Alavés, a result that will give them confidence heading into this knockout tie.

Real Sociedad: Form and Key Stats

Real Sociedad arrive in Vitoria in excellent shape, having gone eight matches unbeaten across all competitions. Their recent 1-1 draw in the Basque derby against Athletic Club extended their positive streak, even though they played the final minutes with one man less. The team has shown remarkable progress in both play and results, and their current momentum makes them one of the most consistent sides in Spain.

In their last five matches, Real Sociedad have achieved 3 wins and 2 draws, scoring an average of 2.0 goals and conceding 1.2. In the Copa del Rey, their record stands at 3 wins and 1 draw, with an average of 2.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match. Their away form is particularly impressive — they have not lost in 23 of their last 24 away matches in the competition and have avoided defeat at half time in 24 consecutive away games.

Real Sociedad also tend to start strong, having won at half time in their last three away matches. However, their games often remain tight in the first half, with Under 1.5 goals recorded before the break in each of their last ten away fixtures. The second half, on the other hand, tends to open up, with Over 0.5 goals scored in 21 of their last 23 matches overall.

Alavés vs Real Sociedad: Analysis and Prediction

This Basque derby promises intensity, tactical discipline, and a fine balance between two teams in good form. Alavés will rely on their home advantage and defensive organization, while Real Sociedad will look to impose their rhythm and attacking quality. The hosts have been strong at Mendizorroza, but the visitors’ consistency and resilience away from home make them slight favorites to progress.

Given the recent trends, a low-scoring match could be expected, especially considering both teams’ defensive records. Alavés have seen fewer than four goals in almost all their home games, while Real Sociedad’s away fixtures often stay tight before opening up in the second half. The duel could be decided by small details or a moment of brilliance from one of the attacking players.

Overall, Real Sociedad’s unbeaten run and superior away record suggest they have the edge to advance to the semi-finals. Alavés will not make it easy, but the visitors’ momentum and experience in knockout situations could prove decisive.

Probable Lineups Alavés vs Real Sociedad

DEPORTIVO ALAVÉS (4-4-2): Sivera; Johny, Tenaglia, Pacheco, Youssef Enríquez; Calebe, Pablo Ibáñez, Ander Guevara, Abde Rebbach; Toni Martínez, Lucas Boyé.
REAL SOCIEDAD (4-2-3-1): Remiro; Aramburu, Zubeldia, Caleta-Car, Sergio Gómez; Carlos Soler, Gorrotxategi; Guedes, Brais, Barrenetxea; Oyarzabal.

Alavés vs Real Sociedad prediction by BetMines:
The forecast points towards a Real Sociedad win (2) with a probability of 44%. A draw (X) stands at 29%, while a home win (1) is estimated at 27%.