The Copa del Rey round of 32 brings an intriguing clash between Deportivo Alavés and Sevilla, two sides with contrasting recent trajectories but equal ambition to progress in the competition. The Basque outfit return to action at home after a narrow 1-2 defeat against Real Madrid, a result that, despite the loss, showcased their ability to compete toe-to-toe with top-tier opposition. Meanwhile, Sevilla arrive in Vitoria buoyed by a resounding 4-0 victory over Real Oviedo, a result that ended a difficult run and restored confidence within their squad. With both teams unbeaten in the Copa del Rey so far, this encounter promises intensity, tactical discipline, and a place in the next round at stake.

Deportivo Alavés: Strength at Home and Cup Consistency

Deportivo Alavés have shown remarkable consistency in the Copa del Rey this season, winning both of their matches with an impressive average of 5.0 goals scored and none conceded. Their attacking efficiency and defensive solidity have made them one of the standout performers in the early rounds. Despite the recent league setback against Real Madrid, the team’s overall form remains competitive, with 2 wins and 3 defeats in their last five outings, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match.

At home, Mendizorroza has been a fortress of discipline and control. Notably, Under 3.5 goals have been recorded in 20 of their last 21 home matches, highlighting their preference for structured, low-scoring encounters. Moreover, Alavés have demonstrated strong starts in cup fixtures, leading at half time in 7 of their last 11 Copa del Rey games. Their ability to impose rhythm early and maintain composure under pressure could be decisive against a Sevilla side known for late surges.

Historically, Alavés have enjoyed a slight edge in head-to-head meetings, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat in their last five clashes, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. The last meeting between the two sides ended 1-2, a result that will surely motivate the home team to seek redemption in front of their supporters.

Sevilla: Momentum Restored and Dangerous in the Cup

Sevilla enter this fixture on the back of a morale-boosting 4-0 win over Real Oviedo, a performance that ended a turbulent spell and extended their unbeaten streak to three matches. In their last five games across all competitions, they have registered 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Their attacking rhythm appears to be returning at the right time, and their Copa del Rey campaign has been solid so far, with 2 wins from 2 matches, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded.

Sevilla’s strength in cup competitions is well documented, and their away record in the Copa del Rey is particularly impressive. They have not lost at half time in their last 19 away matches in the tournament, a testament to their tactical discipline and ability to control the tempo early on. Furthermore, Over 0.5 goals in the second half have been scored in each of their last 15 away Copa del Rey games, indicating their tendency to grow stronger as matches progress. They have also won at half time in their last 5 away fixtures in the competition, a sign of their renewed attacking confidence.

With a balanced mix of experience and attacking flair, Sevilla will look to exploit any defensive lapses from Alavés, especially in the later stages of the match. Their recent improvement in form suggests they are regaining the sharpness that has made them a formidable cup side in recent years.

Deportivo Alavés vs Sevilla: Tactical Overview and Prediction

This Copa del Rey tie is expected to be a tightly contested affair, with both teams bringing strong cup form and renewed confidence. Deportivo Alavés will rely on their compact defensive structure and home advantage, aiming to control possession and frustrate Sevilla’s rhythm. Their record of low-scoring home matches suggests a cautious approach, prioritizing organization over risk. On the other hand, Sevilla’s attacking resurgence and consistent second-half performances make them a dangerous opponent capable of turning games around even after slow starts.

Given the statistical trends, the match could hinge on small details—set pieces, transitional play, or individual brilliance. Alavés’ early dominance in cup fixtures contrasts with Sevilla’s late-game strength, setting the stage for a balanced and strategic battle. The home side’s resilience and recent performances against top opposition, such as Real Madrid, underline their capacity to compete at a high level, while Sevilla’s momentum and attacking efficiency make them equally capable of advancing.

Overall, this encounter promises intensity, tactical depth, and moments of high drama as both sides chase a place in the next round of the Copa del Rey.

Deportivo Alavés vs Sevilla prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 52% probability.