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Deportivo Alavés
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Villarreal
Prediction published on Aug 26, 2026 9:04 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Aug 26, 2026 9:04 PM
Deportivo Alavés welcome Villarreal to the Estadio de Mendizorroza on August 28, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 19:30 local time. The La Liga fixture brings together two unbeaten teams: Alavés have collected four points from six, while Villarreal have drawn both of their opening matches. The hosts begin the round in third place and are aiming to build on an encouraging start, whereas the ninth-placed visitors need to turn competitive performances into their first league victory of the season. Recent results and scoring trends point toward an engaging contest in Gasteiz.
Deportivo Alavés have started their La Liga campaign with one victory and one draw. Their most recent result was a 1-1 draw against Rayo Vallecano on August 20, extending a five-match unbeaten sequence consisting of two wins and three draws. Across those five games, the team have averaged 1.8 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded per match.
Their early league figures are equally positive. Alavés are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded, numbers that explain why they have taken four of the first six available points. Their attacking consistency also stretches beyond the opening two rounds: the team have scored at least once in each of their last 14 La Liga matches.
There are particularly strong patterns after the interval. At least one second-half goal has been recorded in 26 of the last 28 Alavés matches, including 23 of their previous 25 La Liga fixtures. Their home record at half-time provides another encouraging indicator, as they have avoided going into the break behind in 18 of their last 20 home games.
Alavés retained Quique Sánchez Flores after he helped the club secure survival last season. The objective is now to make further progress, and the opening results have created early optimism. Mariano has attracted attention with his start to the campaign, although the source material identifies him as a doubt to begin this match. Facundo Garcés is listed as the only absence for the home side.
Villarreal arrive at Mendizorroza after consecutive 2-2 draws. They opened against Racing de Santander before recording another 2-2 result against Atlético de Madrid on August 23. In the latter match, Villarreal were leading 2-1 and had a numerical advantage with ten minutes remaining, but Atlético recovered to equalise late in the contest.
The visitors therefore have two points from their opening two La Liga fixtures, with averages of 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. Over their last five matches in all available data, Villarreal have registered two victories, two draws and one defeat, scoring and conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game.
The clearest concern is their defensive sequence. Villarreal have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 16 La Liga matches. At the other end, their games have regularly produced action: the last 10 Villarreal league fixtures have all featured more than 1.5 total goals. There has also been at least one first-half goal in 19 of their last 21 matches overall and in 18 of their previous 20 La Liga games.
Villarreal are listed without any absences for this fixture. Despite remaining unbeaten, the two opening draws mean they are still searching for their first league win. The supplied win probabilities give them a narrow edge at 40%, compared with 33% for Alavés and 27% for the draw, but their run of matches without a clean sheet leaves the contest open.
The source article provides the following possible starting teams for the match:
Deportivo Alavés: Sivera; Pérez, Tenaglia, Koski, Jonny Otto, Rebbach; Ibáñez, Blanco, Rodríguez; Boyé, Martínez.
Villarreal: Luiz Junior; Mouriño, Foyth, Veiga, Romero; Pépé, Comesaña, Gueye, Moleiro; Moreno, Mikautadze.
The statistical profile suggests that both sides should have opportunities. Alavés have scored in 14 consecutive La Liga games and enter the fixture unbeaten in five matches, while Villarreal have found the net twice in each of their first two league outings. At the same time, the visitors have conceded in 16 successive league fixtures, including four goals across the opening two rounds.
Previous meetings at Mendizorroza also support the possibility of goals for both teams. Six of Villarreal’s last seven visits to the ground featured goals at each end. The latest head-to-head encounter finished 1-1 on March 13, 2026. Across the five-match head-to-head summary supplied, Alavés have one win, two draws and two defeats, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded.
Alavés can approach the fixture with confidence after taking four points from six and conceding only 0.5 goals per league match so far. Their record of avoiding a half-time deficit in 18 of the last 20 home games indicates that Villarreal may face resistance from the opening whistle. However, first-half goals have been common in the visitors’ recent matches, making the early stages an important part of this encounter.
The goal markets are closely balanced. Both Teams To Score and Over 2.5 goals are each assessed at 54%, while the opposing outcomes stand at 46%. Of those possibilities, the case for both sides finding the net is reinforced by Alavés’ long scoring run, Villarreal’s consistent attacking output, the visitors’ extended sequence without a league clean sheet and the goal pattern from recent meetings at this venue.
Deportivo Alavés vs Villarreal prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 54% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Deportivo Alavés
Villarreal
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
3
7
1
9
2.5
7
3
3
7
3.5
10
0
5
5
4.5
10
0
9
1