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Deportivo Cali
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FT
Santa Fe
Prediction published on Mar 17, 2026 2:01 AM by Dario in Colombia - Liga BetPlay | Modified on Mar 17, 2026 2:01 AM
The upcoming clash between Deportivo Cali and Independiente Santa Fe promises to be a tense and strategic encounter in the twelfth round of the Colombian Apertura. Both sides are eager to climb the table and consolidate their positions in the race for the playoffs. Despite their historical prestige, neither team arrives in peak form, which adds an extra layer of uncertainty to this fixture. The home side will look to capitalize on their local advantage, while the visitors aim to break their inconsistent run and secure valuable points away from home.
Deportivo Cali currently sit ninth in the Liga BetPlay standings, reflecting a campaign of mixed results. Their recent 0-2 victory over Cúcuta Deportivo on March 14, 2026, provided a much-needed boost after a period of fluctuating performances. Over their last five matches, Cali have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game. These numbers highlight a team that relies heavily on defensive organization rather than attacking flair.
Across the season, Cali’s record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match. Their home form has generally been solid, although the recent loss to Once Caldas marked their first home defeat of the campaign. Interestingly, at least one team has failed to score at half time in each of Cali’s last 21 home matches, underlining the cautious nature of their first halves. Additionally, only two of their last ten league games have featured under 0.5 total goals, suggesting that while goals are scarce, complete stalemates are rare.
Historically, Cali have struggled against Santa Fe, losing four of their last five head-to-head meetings and drawing the other. They have averaged just 0.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded in those encounters, a trend they will be eager to reverse in front of their supporters.
Independiente Santa Fe approach this match in fourteenth place, having drawn 1-1 with Alianza Petrolera on March 15, 2026. Their recent form has been inconsistent, with only 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 defeats in their last five outings. During that stretch, they have averaged 1.0 goal scored and 1.6 conceded per match, reflecting a team that struggles to maintain defensive stability.
Over the course of the season, Santa Fe’s record stands at 2 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Away from home, their performances have been particularly erratic, with two draws and two defeats in their last five trips. However, one positive trend is their ability to find the net in the second half — there have been over 0.5 goals scored after the break in each of their last ten league matches. This suggests that Santa Fe tend to grow into games as they progress, often improving their attacking output later on.
Despite their current struggles, Santa Fe can take confidence from their recent dominance in this fixture. Their last meeting with Deportivo Cali ended in a 1-0 victory on November 10, 2025, continuing a strong run of results against the same opponent. However, maintaining that superiority will require a more disciplined defensive display and sharper finishing in front of goal.
This encounter is expected to be a tightly contested affair between two sides that prioritize defensive organization over attacking risk. Deportivo Cali will likely seek to control possession and build patiently from the back, relying on their home advantage to dictate the tempo. Their recent statistics suggest a preference for low-scoring matches, with narrow margins often deciding the outcome.
Santa Fe, on the other hand, may adopt a more cautious approach, focusing on compactness and counter-attacks. Given their tendency to improve in the second half, they could look to absorb pressure early before exploiting spaces as the game opens up. Both teams have struggled for consistency in front of goal, which points toward a match where defensive discipline will be the key factor.
Considering their respective forms and statistical trends, a low-scoring draw or a narrow home win appears plausible. The historical dominance of Santa Fe adds intrigue, but Cali’s recent improvement and home advantage could balance the scales. Fans should expect a match defined by tactical caution rather than attacking fireworks.
Deportivo Cali vs Santa Fe prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 56% probability.
Given both teams’ recent scoring patterns and defensive tendencies, the likelihood of a match with fewer than three goals is high. The data supports a scenario where chances are limited, and precision in front of goal will determine the outcome. A disciplined and strategic contest awaits, with the Under 2.5 goals market offering the most value based on current trends.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Deportivo Cali
Santa Fe
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
5
5
1
9
2.5
8
2
4
6
3.5
9
1
7
3
4.5
9
1
9
1