The upcoming clash between Deportivo Garcilaso and Alianza Lima promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures in the current Apertura campaign. The home side are desperate to end a poor run of form, while the visitors arrive in Cusco full of confidence and sitting comfortably at the top of the table. With both teams showing contrasting momentum, this encounter could have a significant impact on their respective trajectories in the Primera Division.

Deportivo Garcilaso’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Deportivo Garcilaso come into this match after a narrow 1-0 defeat against Cusco FC on March 8, a result that extended their losing streak to three consecutive league games. Their recent elimination from the Copa Sudamericana has also affected morale, leaving the team in need of a strong response at home. So far this season, they have collected just 5 points from 6 matches, with a record of 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 defeats. The side has scored 5 goals and conceded 7, highlighting issues both in attack and defense.

In their last five league outings, Garcilaso have managed only one victory, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Despite these struggles, their home performances often show intensity and determination, especially when playing at altitude. Interestingly, over 0.5 goals in the second half have been scored in 18 of their last 20 home matches in the Primera Division, suggesting that their games tend to open up after the break.

• Ranking: 15th in Primera Division


• Season record: 1 win, 2 draws, 3 defeats


• Average goals scored: 0.8 per match


• Average goals conceded: 1.2 per match


• Last head-to-head vs Alianza Lima: 3-4 (September 14, 2025)

Garcilaso’s main challenge will be to rediscover their attacking rhythm and maintain defensive discipline against the league leaders. A solid start and the support of their home crowd could be crucial in their attempt to secure a positive result.

Alianza Lima’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Alianza Lima travel to Cusco in excellent form after a convincing 3-1 victory over Melgar on March 10. That result consolidated their position at the top of the Apertura standings, two points clear of their nearest rivals. The team has been remarkably consistent, remaining unbeaten with 5 wins and 1 draw from six matches. They have scored 9 goals and conceded only 3, showing both attacking efficiency and defensive reliability.

Over their last five matches, Alianza Lima have recorded three wins and two draws, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game. Their away record is also impressive, with under 3.5 total goals in each of their last 16 away league fixtures, reflecting a disciplined and pragmatic approach on the road. Moreover, they have not lost at half time in their last 14 Primera Division matches, underlining their ability to control games from the start.

• Ranking: 1st in Primera Division


• Season record: 5 wins, 1 draw, 0 defeats


• Average goals scored: 1.5 per match


• Average goals conceded: 0.5 per match


• Unbeaten in last 21 away matches at half time

Alianza Lima’s balance between attack and defense has been key to their success. Their midfield has shown great composure, while their backline has limited opponents to very few chances. Even in high-altitude conditions, they are expected to remain competitive and disciplined throughout the match.

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Lima Analysis and Prediction

This fixture brings together two teams with very different dynamics. Deportivo Garcilaso will rely on their home advantage and the altitude factor to challenge the leaders, while Alianza Lima will aim to extend their unbeaten run and maintain control at the top of the table. The hosts’ recent struggles in front of goal contrast with the visitors’ solid defensive record, suggesting a tight and tactical contest.

Historically, Alianza Lima have dominated this matchup, winning four of the last five meetings, including a thrilling 4-3 victory in their most recent encounter. However, Garcilaso’s fighting spirit at home should not be underestimated, especially given their tendency to improve in the second half of matches.

Considering both teams’ recent statistics, a low-scoring affair seems likely. Alianza Lima’s away games rarely produce more than three goals, while Garcilaso’s offensive inefficiency could limit the overall goal count. The midfield battle will likely determine the outcome, with both sides focusing on maintaining structure and minimizing mistakes.

BetMines prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Lima: Under 2.5 goals with 52% probability.