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Deportivo Garcilaso
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Sport Huancayo
Prediction published on Oct 8, 2026 11:04 AM by Dario in Peru - Primera Division | Modified on Oct 8, 2026 11:04 AM
Deportivo Garcilaso host Sport Huancayo in Peru’s Primera Division on October 10, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 01:00 local time at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega in Cusco. Garcilaso lead the standings, while Huancayo sit fifth, and both arrive with four wins from their last five matches. The home side have been especially difficult to stop in Cusco, but the visitors bring a four-match winning streak of their own. That contrast makes this a test of Garcilaso’s commanding home form against Huancayo’s recent surge.
Deportivo Garcilaso have won four of their last five matches, scoring an average of 2.6 goals and conceding 0.8 per game across that stretch. Their recent results include a 4-0 win over Universitario on September 19. Over the Primera Division season, their record stands at 14 wins, six draws and seven defeats, with averages of 1.4 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match. The Clausura defensive record is also notable: they have allowed just six goals in 11 matches, the best defensive figure in that competition.
Home form provides an even stronger reason for confidence. Garcilaso have won their last 10 Primera Division home matches, while their unbeaten run in Cusco dates back to February. They have scored at least once in each of their last 15 league games at home. Those runs show why Sport Huancayo face a demanding trip, even with momentum on their side: Garcilaso have repeatedly found a goal at this venue and have turned their recent home fixtures into wins.
There is also a clear first-half pattern. Garcilaso have led at the break in their last six home league matches and have not trailed at half-time in any of their last 16 Primera Division games. They have won the first half in seven of their last 11 league outings, underlining how often they establish an advantage early. Their matches do not necessarily end quietly, either: the second half has contained at least one goal in each of their last 12 league home fixtures. Lisandro Greppo’s team therefore bring evidence of both strong starts and sustained home scoring into this contest.
Sport Huancayo approach the match in improved form after four consecutive victories. Their last five games have produced four wins and one defeat, with averages of 2.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. A 3-2 victory over UTC Cajamarca on September 20 was among those recent results. After previously being involved in a fight against relegation, Huancayo have gained ground through that winning run and now enter this fixture in fifth place.
Their wider Primera Division figures offer a more mixed picture than the recent sequence: 10 wins, five draws and 12 losses, alongside averages of 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. The attack has been productive lately, but the number of goals allowed across the last five matches suggests that containing Garcilaso could be a challenge. Richard Pellejero will also be without midfielder Piero Magallanes, who is injured.
Huancayo’s matches have regularly featured goals after the interval. At least one second-half goal has been scored in 23 of their last 24 Primera Division games and in 19 of their last 21 league away matches. More than 1.5 total goals have been scored in 19 of their last 20 league fixtures. These are match-goal trends rather than figures for Huancayo’s scoring alone, but they reinforce the possibility that this contest remains active beyond half-time. The visitors have also conceded at least once in each of their last three meetings with Garcilaso.
The central question is whether Huancayo’s four straight wins can withstand Garcilaso’s run of 10 successive home league victories. Both teams have taken four wins from their last five outings, so recent results alone do not separate them. The distinction lies in Garcilaso’s record in Cusco, their sequence of home games with at least one goal scored, and a Clausura defense that has conceded only six times in 11 matches. Huancayo’s recent scoring form gives the visitors a route into the game, although their average of 1.6 goals conceded across the last five leaves room for the hosts to threaten.
Previous meetings add a note of caution for Garcilaso. Their head-to-head record against Huancayo is one win, one draw and three defeats, with averages of 1.0 goal scored and 1.2 conceded. The latest meeting finished 2-1 on April 18, 2026. Even so, Garcilaso’s current home streak and repeated first-half leads are more directly relevant to the immediate challenge facing the visitors. If the hosts reproduce those starts, Huancayo may have to chase the game; if the visitors carry their recent attacking output into Cusco, the contest could remain open well into a second half that has frequently produced goals for both teams’ matches.
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo prediction from BetMines: Deportivo Garcilaso win (1) with 51% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sport Huancayo
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
4
6
2
8
2.5
5
5
3
7
3.5
5
5
5
5
4.5
6
4
6
4