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Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sporting Cristal Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Primera Division 01-02-2026

Deportivo Garcilaso

1 - 1

FT

Sporting Cristal

Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
Kevin Ortega
light rain 15.49 °C

Prediction published on Jan 31, 2026 4:01 AM by Dario in Peru - Primera Division | Modified on Jan 31, 2026 4:01 AM

The opening round of the Peruvian Liga 1 brings an intriguing clash between Deportivo Garcilaso and Sporting Cristal at the Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega. The home side, known as “Garci”, enters this new campaign after achieving qualification for an international competition thanks to their solid performance last season. However, their recent home form has been inconsistent, with only one victory in their last seven matches in Cusco. The team has strengthened its squad with nine new signings, including defender Horacio Benincasa, aiming to improve their stability and results in front of their fans.


Deportivo Garcilaso’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Deportivo Garcilaso finished last season in 14th place and will look to climb the table this year. Their most recent result was a 0-0 draw against Universitario on November 8, 2025. Over their last five matches, they have recorded two wins, one draw, and two defeats, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Despite their mixed results, the team has shown resilience at home, avoiding defeat at half time in 18 of their last 20 home fixtures in the Primera Division.


Another notable trend is their second-half performance: over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half in 18 of their last 20 home matches. This suggests that Garcilaso often grows into games and finds more rhythm after the break. However, their attack still needs improvement, as they have failed to score in several recent outings. The defensive structure remains relatively solid, but turning draws into wins will be crucial if they want to move up the standings.



  • Ranking: 14th in Primera Division

  • Last 5 matches: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats

  • Average goals: 0.8 scored, 1.0 conceded

  • Unbeaten at half time in 18 of last 20 home matches

  • Over 0.5 goals in the second half in 18 of last 20 home matches


Sporting Cristal’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Sporting Cristal come into this fixture after finishing 4th in the previous campaign, securing a place in the Copa Libertadores. Although they lost 2-0 to Cusco FC on December 14, 2025, their overall form remains competitive. In their last five matches, they have achieved two wins, two draws, and one defeat, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. This balance highlights both their attacking potential and defensive vulnerabilities.


On the road, the “Celestes” have been relatively consistent, losing only one of their last five away matches. However, the offseason brought significant changes: the club released 15 players, including their captain, Jesús Pretell, and brought in only three new signings. This transition phase could affect their early-season chemistry. Historically, Sporting Cristal have dominated this matchup, winning all five previous head-to-head encounters against Garcilaso, with an average of 2.2 goals scored per game.



  • Ranking: 4th in Primera Division

  • Last 5 matches: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat

  • Average goals: 1.4 scored, 1.4 conceded

  • Under 0.5 goals in 2 of last 10 away matches

  • Head-to-head record vs Garcilaso: 5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses


Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sporting Cristal Analysis


This encounter promises to be a fascinating battle between a side looking to establish itself at home and a traditional powerhouse aiming to start the season strongly. Deportivo Garcilaso will rely on their home advantage and improved squad depth to challenge a team that has historically had the upper hand. Their ability to stay solid in the first half could be key to frustrating Sporting Cristal, who tend to find their rhythm later in matches.


For the visitors, maintaining attacking efficiency will be crucial, especially after losing several key players during the offseason. Their recent away record suggests they can handle pressure, but the lack of squad continuity might make this a more balanced contest than previous meetings. The last head-to-head ended 0-1 in favor of Sporting Cristal, but Garcilaso’s defensive improvements could make this a tighter affair.


Statistically, both teams show tendencies toward open games: 58% of matches involving either side have seen over 2.5 goals, and the same percentage applies to both teams scoring. This could indicate a lively encounter, particularly in the second half, where Garcilaso often sees more action in front of goal.


BetMines Prediction


Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sporting Cristal prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 58% probability.

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sporting Cristal - Predictions

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Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sporting Cristal: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Deportivo Garcilaso

Sporting Cristal

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

20%

2

80%

8

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

40%

4

60%

6

10%

1

90%

9

2.5

60%

6

40%

4

50%

5

50%

5

3.5

80%

8

20%

2

60%

6

40%

4

4.5

80%

8

20%

2

80%

8

20%

2

BetMines

Standings of Deportivo Garcilaso and Sporting Cristal in Primera Division

Apertura - Ranking

Team

7

Deportivo Garcilaso

17

7

5

5

21:18

26

1.53

W
W
W
D
W
12

Sporting Cristal

17

5

4

8

28:30

19

1.12

D
D
L
W
L
Champion Play-off

Who will win ?

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sporting Cristal: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sporting Cristal be played?
The Primera Division match between Deportivo Garcilaso and Sporting Cristal will be played on February 1, 2026 at 18:00.
Where will Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sporting Cristal be played?
The match between Deportivo Garcilaso and Sporting Cristal will be played at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco - Peru
Who will referee Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sporting Cristal?
The referee for the match will be Kevin Ortega.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sporting Cristal in the Primera Division?
The odds are: Deportivo Garcilaso to win 2.87, draw 3.40, Sporting Cristal to win 2.35.
What are the betting odds for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sporting Cristal for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Primera Division?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 2.05 and Under 2.5 at 1.75.
Will both Deportivo Garcilaso and Sporting Cristal score in the Primera Division?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.80, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 1.90.
What is the most likely correct score for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sporting Cristal in the Primera Division?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 6.5.
What are the head-to-head results between Deportivo Garcilaso and Sporting Cristal?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Deportivo Garcilaso and Sporting Cristal, Deportivo Garcilaso won 0 times, Sporting Cristal won 5, and 0 ended in a draw.

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