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Prediction published on Oct 3, 2025 1:02 AM by Dario in Spain - La Liga 2 | Modified on Oct 3, 2025 7:12 AM
The upcoming clash in La Liga 2 sees Deportivo La Coruña, current leaders of the competition, hosting UD Almería at the Riazor in what promises to be a highly competitive encounter. Both sides come into this match with different trajectories, but the three points at stake could prove crucial for their ambitions this season. Deportivo have been the most consistent team so far, while Almería are looking to climb further up the table after a mixed start.
Deportivo La Coruña have been the standout team in La Liga 2 this season, sitting at the top of the table with 15 points after seven games. Their record of 4 wins and 3 draws highlights their unbeaten run, and they have shown both attacking efficiency and defensive solidity. The Galicians have averaged 2.3 goals scored per game while conceding just 0.7 goals, making them one of the most balanced sides in the division.
In their most recent outing, Deportivo drew 1-1 against SD Eibar, a result that left them slightly frustrated after conceding late. However, their overall form remains impressive, with 3 wins and 2 draws in their last five matches. They have also been strong starters, having led at half-time in each of their last three league fixtures. At home, Riazor has been a fortress where Deportivo rarely allow their opponents to dominate, and they will look to extend that trend against Almería.
UD Almería currently occupy 9th place in the standings with 11 points, the result of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats. Their campaign has been inconsistent, but they showed resilience in their last match, securing a 0-1 away victory against Las Palmas thanks to a decisive strike from Sergio Arribas. That result underlined their ability to grind out results on the road, something they will need again at Riazor.
Almería’s recent form shows 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five games, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Their attacking record is encouraging, as they have scored in 20 of their last 21 league matches, but their defensive vulnerability remains a concern. Additionally, most of their games tend to open up in the second half, with over 0.5 goals scored after the break in 19 of their last 21 fixtures. This suggests that even if they start cautiously, they are likely to be involved in action-packed second halves.
Historically, this fixture has slightly favored Almería, who have won twice and drawn twice in the last five meetings, compared to just one victory for Deportivo. However, the most recent head-to-head ended 3-1 in favor of Deportivo in February 2025, showing that the Galicians are capable of asserting themselves against this opponent.
From a tactical perspective, Deportivo’s strength lies in their ability to control games early and maintain defensive discipline, while Almería rely on their attacking consistency to stay competitive. The key battle could be whether Deportivo’s solid backline can neutralize Almería’s forwards, particularly Arribas, who has been decisive in recent weeks. Given Deportivo’s unbeaten run and their strong home record, they enter this match as favorites, but Almería’s attacking threat means the game could remain tight until the final whistle.
Considering both teams’ form and statistical trends, this encounter is likely to be competitive but may not produce a high number of goals. Deportivo’s defensive solidity combined with Almería’s tendency to concede suggests that the home side have the edge, but the visitors are unlikely to go down without a fight.
Deportivo La Coruña vs Almería prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 57% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Deportivo La Coruña
Almería
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
7
3
3
7
3.5
9
1
4
6
4.5
10
0
5
5