The final round of the Liga FUTVE quadrangulars brings an exciting clash between Deportivo La Guaira and Academia Puerto Cabello, two teams level on points and fighting for a place in the grand final. The home side, known for their consistency throughout the season, will look to take advantage of their strong record at home to secure qualification. Meanwhile, the visitors arrive with hopes of pulling off an away upset that could propel them into the decisive stage of the competition.

Deportivo La Guaira’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Deportivo La Guaira come into this match after a 3-1 defeat against Fluminense in the Copa Libertadores, but their domestic form remains impressive. In the Primera Division, they have been unbeaten in their last 19 matches, showing remarkable defensive solidity and consistency. Their season record stands at 8 wins, 10 draws, and no defeats, averaging 1.1 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded per game.

At home, La Guaira have proven extremely difficult to beat, avoiding defeat in 19 of their last 20 home fixtures. Their matches tend to be tight and low-scoring, with Under 2.5 goals recorded in 18 of their last 20 league games. The team’s defensive discipline is further highlighted by the fact that Under 1.5 goals at half time have been scored in 21 of their last 23 Primera Division matches.

• Unbeaten in 19 consecutive league matches.


• Average goals scored: 1.1 per match; conceded: 0.5 per match.


• Under 2.5 goals in 18 of their last 20 league games.


• Drawn 7 of their last 8 home matches.


• Haven’t lost at half time in 18 of their last 20 league fixtures.

Although their recent form includes only one win in the last five matches across all competitions (1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats), their defensive organization and home advantage make them a formidable opponent. The team’s ability to control the tempo and restrict opponents’ chances has been key to their success this season.

Academia Puerto Cabello’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Academia Puerto Cabello approach this decisive encounter after a narrow 1-0 loss to Atlético Mineiro in the Copa Sudamericana. In the Primera Division, their campaign has been more inconsistent, with 6 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. Their recent run of form shows 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five outings, indicating a balanced but unpredictable side.

As visitors, Puerto Cabello have struggled to impose themselves, often finding it difficult to score. In fact, Under 0.5 goals have been scored in 4 of their last 15 away league matches, and their attacking output tends to drop significantly on the road. Their matches also tend to feature few corners, with Under 8.5 corners recorded in each of their last eight games.

• Season record: 6 wins, 6 draws, 6 defeats.


• Average goals scored: 1.2; conceded: 1.2 per match.


• Under 8.5 corners in the last 8 matches.


• Under 0.5 goals in 4 of the last 15 away league games.


• Last head-to-head: 1-1 draw on May 3, 2026.

Despite their struggles away from home, Puerto Cabello remain competitive and capable of challenging any opponent when they find rhythm in attack. However, their lack of consistency and efficiency in front of goal could prove costly against a defensively solid La Guaira side.

Deportivo La Guaira vs Academia Puerto Cabello Analysis and Prediction

This match promises to be a tense and tactical battle, with both teams aware that a single goal could decide their fate. Deportivo La Guaira’s unbeaten run and defensive reliability make them slight favorites, especially given their strong home record and ability to control low-scoring games. On the other hand, Academia Puerto Cabello will need to overcome their away struggles and find a way to break down one of the league’s most disciplined defenses.

The head-to-head record slightly favors Puerto Cabello, with La Guaira failing to win any of their last five meetings (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 defeats). However, the current momentum and home advantage could tilt the balance in favor of the hosts this time. Given both teams’ recent scoring patterns, a low-scoring affair is expected, with few clear chances and a focus on defensive organization.

Statistically, the probability distribution suggests a balanced contest: Deportivo La Guaira win 45%, Draw 30%, and Academia Puerto Cabello win 24%. The likelihood of Under 2.5 goals stands at 64%, while Both Teams To Score – No is favored at 58%.

Deportivo La Guaira vs Academia Puerto Cabello prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 64% probability.