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Deportivo La Guaira
1 - 1
FT
Club Bolívar
Prediction published on May 5, 2026 6:02 AM by Dario in South America - Copa Libertadores | Modified on May 5, 2026 6:02 AM
The fourth round of the Copa Libertadores brings an intriguing clash between Deportivo La Guaira and Club Bolívar, two sides with contrasting trajectories in Group C. The Venezuelan team, despite being one of the most consistent performers in their domestic league, has struggled to replicate that form on the continental stage. With only two points collected so far, they are under pressure to secure their first victory of the campaign. Meanwhile, the Bolivian visitors arrive in good spirits after a recent win that boosted their confidence and kept their qualification hopes alive.
Deportivo La Guaira enter this match still searching for their first win in the current Copa Libertadores. Their record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat reflects a team that has found it difficult to convert opportunities into victories. In their most recent outing, they drew 1-1 against Academia Puerto Cabello on May 3, 2026, a result that extended their streak of mixed performances. Over their last five matches in all competitions, they have recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Despite these modest numbers, La Guaira’s home record remains impressive. They have not lost in their last 18 home matches, a statistic that highlights their resilience when playing in front of their supporters. Their games at home tend to be tight and low-scoring, with under 3.5 goals in each of their last 11 home fixtures and under 1.5 goals at half time in the last 16. This pattern suggests a cautious approach, emphasizing defensive solidity over attacking risk.
However, the team’s inability to score consistently has been a concern. They have averaged fewer than one goal per game in this Libertadores campaign, and their last home match in the competition ended in a heavy 4-1 defeat to Rivadavia. To stay alive in Group C, they must rediscover their attacking rhythm while maintaining their defensive discipline.
Club Bolívar arrive in Venezuela with momentum on their side. They recently defeated Gualberto Villarroel SJ 1-2 on May 3, 2026, and have shown strong form in their last five matches, collecting 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat. During this period, they have averaged 2.4 goals scored and only 0.8 conceded per match, underlining their attacking efficiency and defensive balance.
In the Copa Libertadores, Bolívar’s record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with an average of 1.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game. Their offensive consistency is further reflected in the fact that they have scored at least once in 34 of their last 36 matches. Moreover, they tend to start games strongly, with over 0.5 goals at half time in each of their last 13 matches and in 22 of their last 23 Libertadores fixtures.
Bolívar’s attacking rhythm and ability to find the net regularly make them a dangerous opponent, especially against a side that has struggled to score. Their recent away performances have been mixed, but their offensive power gives them a realistic chance to secure a valuable win on Venezuelan soil.
The first meeting between these two sides ended in a 1-1 draw on April 15, 2026, a result that left both teams with unfinished business. This second encounter promises to be more decisive, as both clubs aim to strengthen their position in Group C. La Guaira will rely on their strong home record and defensive organization, while Bolívar will look to exploit their superior attacking form and consistency in front of goal.
Statistically, Bolívar hold a slight edge, with a 38% probability of winning compared to 37% for La Guaira and 25% for a draw. Both teams have shown tendencies toward balanced matches, with Over/Under 2.5 goals evenly split at 50% each and Both Teams To Score – Yes at 52%. Given these numbers, a tight contest with moments of attacking brilliance from the visitors seems likely.
La Guaira’s defensive resilience at home could make Bolívar’s task more complicated, but the Bolivian side’s attacking momentum and ability to score in nearly every match may ultimately prove decisive. The hosts will need to improve their finishing if they are to challenge for all three points.
Deportivo La Guaira vs Club Bolívar prediction from BetMines: Club Bolívar win (2) with 38% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Deportivo La Guaira
Club Bolívar
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
2
8
1
9
2.5
7
3
4
6
3.5
7
3
7
3
4.5
8
2
8
2