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Deportivo Pasto vs Atlético Nacional Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Liga BetPlay 29-03-2026

Deportivo Pasto

1 - 2

FT

Atlético Nacional

Estadio Departamental Libertad
Carlos Arturo Ortega Jaimes
moderate rain °C

Prediction published on Mar 28, 2026 1:02 AM by Dario in Colombia - Liga BetPlay | Modified on Mar 28, 2026 1:02 AM

The upcoming clash between Deportivo Pasto and Atlético Nacional promises to be one of the standout fixtures in the Colombian Liga BetPlay Apertura. Both sides occupy the top positions in the table and arrive in excellent form, making this encounter a direct battle for leadership and momentum heading into the decisive phase of the tournament. The match not only brings together two of the most consistent teams of the season but also revives a rivalry that has historically been dominated by the visitors, adding an extra layer of intrigue to an already high-stakes contest.


Deportivo Pasto’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Deportivo Pasto have been one of the revelations of the current campaign, showing remarkable consistency and resilience. With a record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and only 2 defeats in Liga BetPlay, they have established themselves as serious contenders for the top spots. Their attacking output has been solid, averaging 1.5 goals scored per match, while conceding just 1.2 goals on average. This balance between offense and defense has been the foundation of their success so far.


Recent performances underline their strong momentum: in their last five matches, Pasto have recorded 4 wins and just 1 loss, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per game. Their most recent victory, a 1-2 away win against Fortaleza CEIF on March 25, 2026, showcased their ability to perform under pressure. At home, they have been particularly dominant, winning at half time in each of their last three home fixtures, a sign of their aggressive starts and tactical control in front of their fans.


However, history has not been kind to Pasto in this matchup. They have failed to win any of their last 16 meetings with Atlético Nacional, including a 2-2 draw in their most recent encounter on October 18, 2025. Despite this, their current form and confidence suggest they are better equipped than ever to challenge that negative trend.


Atlético Nacional’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Atlético Nacional enter this fixture as the current leaders of Liga BetPlay, boasting an impressive record of 9 wins and 3 defeats with no draws so far this season. Their attacking power has been exceptional, averaging 2.2 goals scored per match while maintaining a strong defensive line that concedes only 0.8 goals per game. This combination of efficiency and solidity has made them one of the most feared teams in the league.


In their last five matches, Nacional have mirrored Pasto’s form with 4 wins and 1 defeat, including a commanding 3-0 victory over Internacional de Bogotá on March 22, 2026. Their consistency is further highlighted by the fact that they have not drawn any of their last 17 matches, a statistic that reflects their all-or-nothing approach and relentless pursuit of victory. Additionally, at least one goal has been scored in the second half of each of their last 16 Liga BetPlay matches, indicating their ability to maintain attacking intensity throughout the game.


Another notable trend is their disciplined play in set-piece situations, with under 10.5 corners recorded in each of their last 16 league matches. This suggests a controlled style of play that prioritizes efficiency over chaos. Their dominance in head-to-head encounters against Pasto—winning four of the last five meetings—adds a psychological edge that could prove decisive once again.


Deportivo Pasto vs Atlético Nacional Tactical Overview


This matchup is expected to be a tactical battle between two sides that combine structure with attacking ambition. Deportivo Pasto will likely rely on their strong home form and quick transitions to unsettle the visitors, while Atlético Nacional will aim to impose their rhythm through possession and clinical finishing. Both teams have shown the ability to score consistently, which points toward an open and entertaining contest.


Given the statistical balance—both teams averaging over two goals per game in recent weeks—there is every reason to expect a match with multiple scoring opportunities. Pasto’s challenge will be to overcome their historical struggles against Nacional, while the visitors will seek to maintain their dominance and extend their lead at the top of the table. The psychological factor of Pasto’s long winless streak in this fixture could influence the early stages, but their current momentum suggests they will not be easily subdued.



  • Deportivo Pasto: 8W–3D–2L, 1.5 goals scored per match, unbeaten at home this season.

  • Atlético Nacional: 9W–0D–3L, 2.2 goals scored per match, no draws in last 17 games.

  • Last head-to-head: 2-2 draw on October 18, 2025.

  • Head-to-head record: Pasto 0W – 1D – 4L, average goals 0.8 scored, 2.0 conceded.


Prediction and Final Analysis


All indicators point to a highly competitive and balanced encounter. Deportivo Pasto will look to capitalize on their home advantage and recent form, while Atlético Nacional will rely on their superior head-to-head record and attacking efficiency. The likelihood of both teams finding the net is considerable, given their offensive trends and the fact that both average more than two goals scored per game in their last five outings.


While Pasto’s resilience at home cannot be underestimated, Nacional’s consistency and psychological edge make them slight favorites to avoid defeat. The match could hinge on fine margins, particularly in the second half, where both teams have shown a tendency to score. Fans can expect a dynamic and intense contest that could have significant implications for the top of the Liga BetPlay standings.


Deportivo Pasto vs Atlético Nacional prediction from BetMines: Draw (X) with 29% probability.

Deportivo Pasto vs Atlético Nacional - Predictions

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Deportivo Pasto vs Atlético Nacional: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Deportivo Pasto

Atlético Nacional

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

10%

1

90%

9

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

30%

3

70%

7

30%

3

70%

7

2.5

40%

4

60%

6

40%

4

60%

6

3.5

70%

7

30%

3

70%

7

30%

3

4.5

70%

7

30%

3

80%

8

20%

2

BetMines

Standings of Deportivo Pasto and Atlético Nacional in Liga BetPlay

Apertura - Ranking

Team

1

Atlético Nacional

19

13

1

5

35:15

40

2.11

W
W
W
L
L
3

Deportivo Pasto

19

10

4

5

29:25

34

1.79

D
W
W
L
L
Next Round

Clausura - Ranking

Team

6

Atlético Nacional

0

0

0

0

0:0

0

-

-
16

Deportivo Pasto

0

0

0

0

0:0

0

-

-
Next Round

Who will win ?

Deportivo Pasto vs Atlético Nacional: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Deportivo Pasto vs Atlético Nacional be played?
The Liga BetPlay match between Deportivo Pasto and Atlético Nacional will be played on March 29, 2026 at 23:20.
Where will Deportivo Pasto vs Atlético Nacional be played?
The match between Deportivo Pasto and Atlético Nacional will be played at Estadio Departamental Libertad, San Juan de Pasto - Colombia
Who will referee Deportivo Pasto vs Atlético Nacional?
The referee for the match will be Carlos Arturo Ortega Jaimes.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Deportivo Pasto vs Atlético Nacional in the Liga BetPlay?
The odds are: Deportivo Pasto to win 3.10, draw 3.25, Atlético Nacional to win 2.35.
What are the betting odds for Deportivo Pasto vs Atlético Nacional for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Liga BetPlay?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 2.00 and Under 2.5 at 1.80.
Will both Deportivo Pasto and Atlético Nacional score in the Liga BetPlay?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.72, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.00.
What is the most likely correct score for Deportivo Pasto vs Atlético Nacional in the Liga BetPlay?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 6.
What are the head-to-head results between Deportivo Pasto and Atlético Nacional?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Deportivo Pasto and Atlético Nacional, Deportivo Pasto won 0 times, Atlético Nacional won 4, and 1 ended in a draw.

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