Tools
Deportivo Pasto
1 - 0
FT
Deportes Tolima
Prediction published on Apr 9, 2026 2:03 AM by Dario in Colombia - Liga BetPlay | Modified on Apr 9, 2026 2:03 AM
The sixteenth round of the Colombian Apertura brings an exciting clash between Deportivo Pasto and Deportes Tolima, two sides that have been among the most consistent performers in the current campaign. The match will be played at the Estadio Departamental Libertad, where the home side has built a strong reputation for resilience and attacking flair. Both teams are separated by just one point in the standings, making this encounter crucial in the race for the top positions of Liga BetPlay.
Deportivo Pasto have been one of the pleasant surprises of the Apertura, currently sitting second in the table. Their home record has been particularly impressive, with only one defeat in eight matches played at their stadium. The team’s attacking output has been solid throughout the season, scoring 21 goals in 15 league games, averaging 1.4 goals per match. Defensively, they have conceded an average of 1.1 goals per game, showing a balanced approach between offense and defense.
In their most recent fixture, Pasto drew 0-0 against Alianza Petrolera on April 1, 2026, a result that slightly slowed their momentum but still extended their positive home streak. Over their last five matches, they have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats, maintaining a steady rhythm that keeps them in contention for the top spots. Their consistency at home and ability to find the net regularly make them a dangerous opponent for any visiting side.
With the support of their fans and a strong attacking mentality, Deportivo Pasto will look to capitalize on their home advantage and continue their impressive run in front of goal. Their attacking leader, who has already reached double digits in goals this season, remains a key figure in their offensive setup.
Deportes Tolima arrive at this fixture in excellent form, unbeaten in their last eight matches across all competitions. The team has shown remarkable consistency, combining defensive solidity with a potent attack that has produced 24 goals in 15 league games. Their average of 1.6 goals scored per match and only 0.9 conceded underline their efficiency at both ends of the pitch.
In their latest outing, Tolima drew 0-0 against Universitario on April 8, 2026, maintaining their unbeaten streak. Over their last five matches, they have achieved 2 wins and 3 draws, demonstrating resilience and the ability to secure results even in challenging circumstances. Their away performances have also been noteworthy, with the team leading at half time in 9 of their last 15 away matches in Liga BetPlay, a sign of their strong starts on the road.
The attacking duo of their creative midfielder and forward has been particularly effective, combining for 12 goals so far in the Apertura. This partnership has been instrumental in Tolima’s rise up the table and will once again be central to their hopes of securing a positive result away from home.
This encounter promises to be a tightly contested battle between two of the most balanced teams in Colombia. Deportivo Pasto will rely on their strong home form and attacking efficiency, while Deportes Tolima will look to extend their unbeaten run with their dynamic offensive play and disciplined defense. Historically, their head-to-head record is evenly matched, with two wins each and one draw in their last five meetings, averaging 1.4 goals scored by Pasto and 1.6 conceded.
Given both teams’ recent performances, a match with limited scoring opportunities could be on the cards. The statistical trends suggest a cautious approach from both sides, especially considering that Under 2.5 goals has occurred in 59% of Tolima’s recent away fixtures. However, their attacking potential means that any defensive lapse could quickly change the course of the game.
With win probabilities standing at 35% for Deportivo Pasto, 30% for a draw, and 34% for Deportes Tolima, the balance between the two sides is evident. Both teams are capable of producing moments of brilliance, but the defensive organization and tactical discipline may ultimately dictate the outcome.
BetMines prediction for Deportivo Pasto vs Deportes Tolima:
Under 2.5 goals with a 59% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Deportivo Pasto
Deportes Tolima
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
4
6
6
4
3.5
7
3
9
1
4.5
7
3
10
0