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Deportivo Pasto
1 - 2
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Santa Fe
Prediction published on Apr 22, 2026 12:02 AM by Dario in Colombia - Liga BetPlay | Modified on Apr 22, 2026 12:02 AM
The upcoming clash between Deportivo Pasto and Santa Fe promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the 18th round in the Colombian Apertura. Both teams are currently in strong positions within the Liga BetPlay standings and are fighting to consolidate their places in the playoff zone. Pasto, sitting second, will look to capitalize on their home advantage, while Santa Fe, currently eighth, aims to extend their positive run and secure valuable points away from home.
Deportivo Pasto have been one of the standout performers this season, combining consistency with solid defensive organization. Their record of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats in the current campaign reflects a well-balanced side capable of managing different match situations. The team has averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, underlining their efficiency at both ends of the pitch.
Recent results confirm their good momentum: in their last five league games, Pasto have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, including a crucial 2-3 away victory against Jaguares de Córdoba on April 17, 2026. Their home form remains particularly impressive, with 4 wins in their last 5 home matches and only one defeat throughout the season. This strong record at home has been the foundation of their success, as they often dictate the tempo and maintain control of possession.
Historically, however, Pasto have found it challenging when facing Santa Fe at home, losing 4 of their last 7 meetings against the capital side. Despite this, their current form and confidence suggest that they will approach this encounter with optimism and determination to break that trend.
Santa Fe arrive at this fixture in eighth place, having shown signs of improvement in recent weeks. Their emphatic 5-0 win over Cúcuta Deportivo on April 19, 2026, was a statement performance that boosted morale and reinforced their attacking potential. Over their last five matches, Santa Fe have achieved 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 defeat, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
On the road, Santa Fe have proven difficult to beat, remaining unbeaten in their last four away fixtures. Their ability to stay competitive away from home has been key to their playoff push. The team has also shown a consistent attacking rhythm in the second half of matches, with over 0.5 goals scored after halftime in each of their last 19 games across all competitions, including 10 consecutive away matches in Liga BetPlay. Additionally, they have led at halftime in 7 of their last 11 matches, demonstrating their capacity to start games strongly.
With a season record of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, Santa Fe’s campaign has been marked by resilience and balance. Their recent performances suggest that they can challenge any opponent, particularly when their attacking unit finds rhythm early in the game.
The recent history between Deportivo Pasto and Santa Fe has been relatively balanced. In their last five encounters, Pasto have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. Their most recent meeting ended in a 1-1 draw on September 20, 2025, a result that reflected the competitive nature of this fixture.
From a tactical perspective, this match is expected to be tightly contested. Pasto’s strength at home and structured defensive play will likely meet Santa Fe’s dynamic transitions and attacking intent. Both teams have shown the ability to score, but neither tends to engage in high-scoring affairs. The statistical trends point toward a balanced game where both sides could find the net, yet the total number of goals may remain moderate.
Given these numbers, the match could develop into a balanced contest where both teams create chances but remain cautious in defense, aware of the importance of avoiding defeat at this stage of the tournament.
According to the available probabilities, Deportivo Pasto have a 48% chance of winning, while the draw stands at 27% and a Santa Fe win at 25%. The Both Teams To Score – Yes market is nearly balanced at 49%, and the Under 2.5 goals option holds a 56% likelihood, suggesting a match with limited scoring but competitive intensity.
Considering the context and the teams’ recent performances, this fixture is likely to feature goals from both sides but remain under the 4.5-goal threshold. Pasto’s home strength and Santa Fe’s away resilience point toward a scenario where neither team dominates completely, making a close and entertaining encounter the most probable outcome.
Deportivo Pasto vs Santa Fe prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 49% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Deportivo Pasto
Santa Fe
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
3
7
1
9
2.5
4
6
4
6
3.5
7
3
7
3
4.5
7
3
9
1