The upcoming clash between Deportivo Recoleta and Santos in the fourth round of the Copa Sudamericana promises to be a decisive moment for both sides in Group D. Neither team has managed to display its best football so far in the competition, but this encounter could mark a turning point. The Paraguayan side will look to build on their recent domestic success, while the Brazilian visitors aim to secure their first win in the continental tournament and climb off the bottom of the table.

Deportivo Recoleta’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Deportivo Recoleta approach this match with renewed confidence after a 2-1 victory over Cerro Porteño in the Paraguayan Primera División on May 3, 2026. That result extended their positive domestic run, where they have recorded two wins, two draws, and one defeat in their last five matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. However, their performance in the Copa Sudamericana has been less convincing, as they currently sit third in Group D with three points, having drawn all four of their matches so far.

Despite their lack of wins in the continental competition, Recoleta have shown resilience. They have not lost at half time in 28 of their last 31 matches, a sign of their ability to stay competitive throughout games. Their defensive organization has been solid, conceding less than one goal per match on average in the tournament. The challenge now lies in converting their draws into victories, especially at home, where they will rely on their disciplined structure and quick transitions to trouble their Brazilian opponents.

• Ranking: 3rd in Group D


• Season stats (Copa Sudamericana): 0 wins, 4 draws, 0 losses


• Average goals: 0.8 scored, 0.8 conceded


• Last 5 matches: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat


• Head-to-head vs Santos: 1-1 draw on April 15, 2026

Santos’ Recent Form and Key Stats

Santos arrive at this fixture under pressure to deliver their first victory in the Copa Sudamericana. The Brazilian side currently occupy the bottom spot in Group D with two points from three matches. Their most recent outing ended in a 1-1 draw against Palmeiras on May 2, 2026, a result that extended their winless streak to five games across all competitions. During that run, they have drawn four and lost one, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match.

Although results have been disappointing, Santos have remained competitive in most of their games. They have not lost at half time in their last 13 matches, showing a degree of consistency in the early stages of matches. Their attacking play often generates numerous set-piece opportunities, as evidenced by the fact that over 7.5 corners have been taken in 28 of their last 30 fixtures. However, their defensive lapses have cost them valuable points, and improving their concentration in the final minutes will be key if they are to turn draws into wins.

• Ranking: 4th in Group D


• Season stats (Copa Sudamericana): 0 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss


• Average goals: 0.7 scored, 1.0 conceded


• Last 5 matches: 0 wins, 4 draws, 1 defeat


• Corners: Over 7.5 corners in 28 of last 30 matches

Recoleta vs Santos Tactical Overview and Prediction

This Group D encounter is expected to be tightly contested, with both teams eager to break their winless streaks in the competition. Deportivo Recoleta will likely rely on their compact defensive setup and quick counterattacks, while Santos are expected to control possession and push forward through their wide players. The previous meeting between these sides ended in a 1-1 draw, suggesting that there is little to separate them in terms of quality and approach.

Statistically, both teams have struggled to score freely, and their recent matches have often featured fewer than three goals. The balance of probabilities slightly favors the visitors, who possess more experience in continental competitions and a higher overall level of play. However, Recoleta’s home advantage and solid defensive record could make this another close affair decided by small details.

• Win probabilities: Recoleta 33%, Draw 30%, Santos 37%


• BTTS: Yes 46%, No 54%


• Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 46%, Under 54%

Given the current form and statistical trends, a low-scoring match seems likely, with both sides cautious not to concede early. Santos’ superior technical level could give them a slight edge, but Recoleta’s resilience at home should not be underestimated.

Recoleta vs Santos prediction by BetMines:
Santos win (2) with a probability of 37%.