Tools
Deportivo Saprissa
2 - 1
FT
Alajuelense
Prediction published on Feb 20, 2026 3:02 AM by Dario in Costa Rica - Primera Division | Modified on Feb 20, 2026 3:02 AM
The upcoming clash between Deportivo Saprissa and Alajuelense promises to be one of the standout fixtures of the Liga Promerica’s eighth round. Two of the most successful sides in Costa Rican football meet again, each with different momentum heading into this encounter. The home side arrive in excellent form, while the visitors are looking to recover from a surprising setback in their last outing. With both teams sitting close in the standings, this match could have a significant impact on the upper part of the table.
Deportivo Saprissa come into this fixture full of confidence after a narrow but valuable 0-1 away win against Municipal Liberia on February 15, 2026. That result extended their unbeaten run to five matches, during which they have recorded three wins and two draws. Their consistency has been built on a solid defensive base, conceding just 0.8 goals per game in that period while scoring an average of 1.4 goals.
In the current Primera Division campaign, Saprissa’s record stands at 15 wins, 8 draws, and 6 defeats, with an average of 1.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. Their home performances have been particularly strong, having led at half time in 12 of their last 19 home games. This consistency at their own ground makes them a formidable opponent for any visiting side. Currently sitting 4th in the table with 12 points, Saprissa are just four points behind the league leaders and will be eager to close that gap with another victory.
Historically, Saprissa have struggled in recent meetings with Alajuelense, failing to win any of their last five head-to-head encounters (0 wins, 1 draw, 4 defeats). However, their recent form and home advantage could make this the perfect opportunity to turn that record around.
Alajuelense travel to this match after a disappointing 1-2 home defeat against Sporting San José on February 16, 2026. That result was unexpected for the reigning champions, who have shown inconsistency in recent weeks. Over their last five matches, they have managed two wins, one draw, and two losses, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Despite their recent dip, Alajuelense’s overall season record remains strong: 16 wins, 9 draws, and 4 defeats, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and only 0.8 conceded per match. Their defensive organization has been one of their main strengths, but lapses like the one against Sporting San José have cost them valuable points. Currently placed 5th in the standings with 9 points, they will be determined to bounce back and avoid losing further ground to their rivals.
One notable trend in Alajuelense’s matches is the high number of corners. There have been over 8.5 corners in 18 of their last 20 games in the Primera Division, suggesting a dynamic and attacking style of play that often leads to numerous set-piece opportunities. This could be a key factor in their approach against Saprissa, especially if they look to exploit aerial situations or second-ball chances.
This encounter between Saprissa and Alajuelense brings together two sides with contrasting recent trajectories. The home team are enjoying a strong run of form, combining defensive solidity with efficient attacking play, while the visitors are still searching for consistency after a mixed start to the campaign. The last head-to-head meeting ended 3-1 in favor of Alajuelense on December 21, 2025, but the current momentum suggests a more balanced contest this time.
Given Saprissa’s ability to control matches at home and their tendency to start strongly, they are likely to take the initiative early on. Alajuelense, on the other hand, may rely on their compact defensive structure and quick transitions to create danger on the counterattack. Both teams have shown the capacity to score, and with the BTTS probability at 53%, goals at both ends cannot be ruled out.
However, Saprissa’s recent unbeaten streak and their impressive home record make them slight favorites. Their confidence, combined with Alajuelense’s recent defensive lapses, could tilt the balance in favor of the Morados.
Deportivo Saprissa vs Alajuelense prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 51% probability. The draw (X) stands at 25%, while an away win (2) is estimated at 23%. Given Saprissa’s current form and home advantage, the hosts appear well-positioned to claim all three points in this highly anticipated Liga Promerica showdown.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Deportivo Saprissa
Alajuelense
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
0
10
0
10
2.5
3
7
6
4
3.5
5
5
9
1
4.5
8
2
9
1