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Prediction published on Feb 5, 2026 11:02 AM by Dario in England - Championship | Modified on Feb 5, 2026 11:02 AM
The EFL Championship continues with an intriguing clash between Derby County and Ipswich Town at Pride Park. Both sides are chasing promotion, with Derby sitting seventh and Ipswich fourth in the standings. The home team have been on an upward trajectory, while the visitors are looking to regain momentum after a slight dip in form. This fixture promises to be a tight and tactical battle between two ambitious clubs aiming to strengthen their position in the top half of the table.
Derby County have been one of the most consistent sides in recent weeks, going unbeaten in their last four league matches (three wins and one draw). Their latest outing was a stunning 5-0 away victory over Bristol City on January 30, marking their biggest league win since 2019. That result underlined their attacking potential and growing confidence as they push for a playoff spot.
Across their last five matches, the Rams have recorded three wins, one draw, and one defeat, averaging two goals scored and one conceded per game. Over the course of the season, they have accumulated 12 wins, nine draws, and nine losses, with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. Their ability to find the net has been remarkable — they have scored at least once in each of their last 21 matches, including 13 consecutive home games.
At Pride Park, Derby have been particularly resilient, rarely trailing at half time. In fact, they have avoided defeat at the break in 19 of their last 21 matches, and have led at half time in their last three Championship fixtures. This consistency in the opening 45 minutes often sets the tone for their performances, giving them a solid platform to build upon in front of their supporters.
Ipswich Town enter this encounter looking to rediscover their winning touch after two consecutive league games without victory. Their most recent match ended in a 1-1 draw at home against Preston North End on January 31. Before that, the Tractor Boys had enjoyed a strong run of six unbeaten matches, including four straight wins, which helped them climb into the top four.
In their last five outings, Ipswich have registered three wins, one draw, and one defeat, averaging 1.8 goals scored and one conceded per game. Their season record stands at 14 wins, nine draws, and six losses, with an average of 1.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. Away from home, they have been a tough side to beat, losing just once in their last 12 league trips. This resilience on the road has been key to their promotion challenge.
Historically, Ipswich have enjoyed the upper hand in this fixture, winning four of the last five meetings between the two sides. The most recent head-to-head ended in a 2-2 draw on August 30, 2025, highlighting how evenly matched these teams can be when they meet. Given their attacking quality and solid defensive structure, Ipswich will be confident of securing a positive result even in a challenging away environment.
This Championship clash brings together two teams with contrasting recent trajectories but similar ambitions. Derby County are riding a wave of confidence after their emphatic win at Bristol City, while Ipswich Town are eager to bounce back from a brief winless spell. Both sides have shown strong defensive organization throughout the season, with each conceding around one goal per game on average.
Given the statistics, a low-scoring contest seems likely. Derby’s recent matches have often featured controlled performances, while Ipswich’s away fixtures have followed a similar pattern — nine of their last twelve away games have produced under 2.5 total goals. The head-to-head history also supports this trend, with tight scorelines being the norm between these two clubs.
Expect a competitive and disciplined encounter, where both teams prioritize structure over risk. Derby’s home advantage could make the difference, but Ipswich’s consistency on the road ensures that the visitors will not be easy to break down. A draw or a narrow win either way would not be surprising, but the overall tone of the match points towards a cautious affair.
Derby County vs Ipswich Town prediction by BetMines:
Under 2.5 goals with 50% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Derby County
Ipswich Town
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
4
6
1
9
2.5
5
5
5
5
3.5
8
2
7
3
4.5
8
2
9
1