Tools
Prediction published on Dec 4, 2025 1:03 PM by Dario in England - Championship | Modified on Dec 4, 2025 1:03 PM
The East Midlands derby returns this weekend as Derby County host Leicester City in a highly anticipated Championship clash. Both sides are looking to bounce back from recent defeats and regain momentum before the busy festive period. Derby currently sit 11th in the standings, while Leicester are five places below in 16th, making this encounter crucial for both teams’ ambitions. With local pride and valuable points at stake, the match at Pride Park promises intensity and drama.
Derby County have shown flashes of strong form in recent weeks, winning six of their last eight matches across all competitions. However, consistency remains an issue, as they come into this fixture following a 2-1 defeat to Middlesbrough on November 29. That result marked their second loss in three games and extended their run of six consecutive matches without a clean sheet. Despite these defensive lapses, the Rams have been productive in attack, averaging 1.8 goals scored per game over their last five outings.
At home, Derby’s performances have been mixed. They suffered a 3-2 defeat to Watford in their most recent match at Pride Park but had previously won three consecutive home fixtures. Their ability to start games strongly has been a key feature this season, having led at half-time in their last seven Championship matches and in each of their last three home games. Overall, their season record stands at 7 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. Manager Paul Warne will be eager to see his side tighten up defensively while maintaining their attacking rhythm in front of their home supporters.
After suffering relegation from the Premier League, Leicester City have found life in the Championship more challenging than expected. The Foxes are currently struggling to find consistency, sitting just seven points above the relegation zone and five points adrift of the playoff positions. Their recent form has been worrying, with only two wins in their last nine matches. A 3-2 defeat to Sheffield United last time out highlighted their defensive frailties, as they have now conceded six goals in their last two games.
Defensively, Leicester’s issues are clear. They have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 12 Championship matches and have conceded at least one goal in 20 of their last 21 away fixtures. Their away form has been inconsistent, with six losses in their last ten away games and a tendency to trail at half-time in most of them. On the attacking front, Leicester have averaged 1.4 goals scored per match in their last five outings, showing that while their attack remains capable, their defensive instability continues to undermine results. Manager Marti Cifuentes faces growing pressure to stabilize the team and guide them back toward the top half of the table.
This East Midlands derby is more than just a league fixture—it’s a battle for regional pride between two clubs with rich histories and passionate fanbases. The last meeting between these sides dates back to February 2017, when they drew 1-1, and although years have passed, the rivalry remains fierce. Historically, Leicester have had the upper hand, with three wins and two draws in the last five head-to-head encounters, averaging 1.8 goals scored per game compared to Derby’s 1.0.
Both teams have shown attacking intent this season but have struggled defensively, which could make for an open and entertaining contest. Derby’s tendency to start games strongly could put Leicester under early pressure, especially given the Foxes’ habit of conceding first away from home. On the other hand, Leicester’s attacking players have the quality to exploit Derby’s defensive lapses, particularly on the counterattack. With both sides conceding regularly and neither defense looking particularly secure, goals are expected at both ends.
Given the current form and statistical trends, this fixture has all the ingredients for a lively encounter with multiple scoring opportunities. The Rams will look to capitalize on home advantage and their strong first-half performances, while Leicester will aim to rediscover the resilience that once defined their Premier League days. Expect a high-tempo match where both teams push forward in search of victory.
Derby County vs Leicester City prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is Both Teams To Score (Yes) with a 56% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Derby County
Leicester City
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
4
6
3
7
2.5
5
5
7
3
3.5
8
2
7
3
4.5
8
2
10
0