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Derby County
2 - 1
FT
Sheffield Wednesday
Prediction published on Mar 5, 2026 4:02 PM by Dario in England - Championship | Modified on Mar 5, 2026 4:02 PM
The Championship’s Matchday 36 brings an intriguing clash at Pride Park as Derby County host Sheffield Wednesday. The Rams are pushing to stay in the playoff race, while the Owls are desperately seeking to end a disastrous run at the bottom of the table. With both sides coming off contrasting results, this fixture promises plenty of talking points and potential drama.
Derby County returned to winning ways with a convincing 3–1 victory over Blackburn Rovers on February 28, a result that lifted them to eighth in the Championship standings with 51 points. That win ended a short run of back-to-back defeats and reignited their hopes of closing the six-point gap to the playoff zone. Their overall record this season stands at 14 wins, 9 draws, and 12 losses, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match.
The Rams have been particularly reliable in front of goal, having scored at least once in 25 of their last 26 matches across all competitions. At Pride Park, their attacking consistency is even more impressive — they have found the net in each of their last 16 home games. Moreover, over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of each of their last 12 fixtures, showing their ability to stay dangerous until the final whistle.
In their last five outings, Derby have recorded two wins and three defeats, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per game while conceding 1.8. Despite some defensive lapses, their offensive rhythm remains strong, and they will look to build on their recent home form, having won their last two matches at Pride Park. The earlier 3–0 away triumph over Sheffield Wednesday this season will also boost their confidence heading into this rematch.
For Sheffield Wednesday, the 2025/26 campaign has been nothing short of a nightmare. The Owls sit rock bottom of the Championship table with just one win, eight draws, and twenty-six defeats. Their average of 0.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match highlights the scale of their struggles. Off-field issues have compounded their on-pitch woes, and their current form offers little optimism for a turnaround.
They come into this fixture on the back of a 1–3 defeat to Southampton on February 28, extending their losing streak to thirteen consecutive matches. In those games, they have conceded at least one goal every time, often between one and two goals per match. The Owls have also failed to win any of their last thirty matches in all competitions, including twenty-nine in the Championship. Their away form is equally bleak, with eight straight defeats on the road and no first-half leads in their last seventeen fixtures.
Sheffield Wednesday’s attack has been largely ineffective, averaging less than a goal per game, while their defense continues to leak goals at an alarming rate. Their inability to hold firm under pressure has been a recurring theme, and facing a Derby side that thrives at home will be another stern test. The Owls’ last victory feels like a distant memory, and their confidence appears to be at an all-time low.
When these two sides met earlier in the season, Derby County ran out comfortable 3–0 winners away from home. Historically, however, the head-to-head record slightly favors Sheffield Wednesday, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five meetings. Yet, current form and momentum clearly point toward the Rams as the stronger side heading into this encounter.
Derby’s attacking consistency, especially at home, contrasts sharply with Wednesday’s defensive fragility. The Rams have scored in nearly every recent match, while the Owls have conceded in each of their last thirteen. Given these trends, another high-scoring performance from the hosts seems likely. However, Derby’s defense has not been flawless either, which could allow the visitors a rare opportunity to find the net.
Expect the home side to dominate possession and create the majority of chances, while Sheffield Wednesday will likely sit deep and attempt to frustrate their opponents. If Derby maintain their attacking rhythm and capitalize on the visitors’ defensive lapses, they should secure a comfortable win to keep their playoff hopes alive.
Derby County vs Sheffield Wednesday prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 56% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Derby County
Sheffield Wednesday
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Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
4
6
2
8
2.5
5
5
7
3
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
8
2
9
1